WinterWolf

I Think a lot of folks memory is hazy on that. I’m 54, and as long as I can remember, it didn’t look frozen, and/or snowy most mid/late Novembers. Sure some do and have over the years, but more times than not, it doesn’t.

I love this! These folks make themselves look so silly. Great post. I guess if it doesn’t look like a frozen tundra on 11/20, there must be something wrong? It’s Laughable.

You’re a silly MET…there will be no run at record warmth this weekend, and I know that and I’m not even a Meteorologist.

What blows my mind is you have sno ski from Jersey in here ranting about we’re wasting climo…it’s ridiculous. His climo for snow is later than SNE…I have no idea what he’s talking about? But then again neither does he. Have to agree with Scooter…things are progressing very nicely. Ensembles look pretty decent/to good for beginning of December too..I’m very pleased at the progression. And in case some have forgotten…we had a very nice event in December of ‘20 here in SNE..a foot plus(14-15 inches) for my area.

It’s been clear that it has…but some don’t seem to see that. And it was the ones saying that the change wasn’t gonna happen as quick as it did .

Ya for Jersey maybe…but not us SNE folk.

Imo it could be every bit as cold as those winters if the right pattern sets up. I mean Feb 2015 broke the record from the1930’s…just need the right set up. But regardless…it’s a nice look, if it can hold lol.

Would you call that Scandinavian ridging, or an EAST based -NAO in that depiction? Or a lil of both?

I know we always say this, but in all seriousness, what did they do to that model? Holy smokes.

No, the pattern has changed completely George. We had upper 70’s for highs, and upper 60’s to near 70 for lows the first week of November. Look where we’ve gone since. The pattern is completely different/changed. That’s what is being talked about when I responded to great snow 1717.

It is compared to the 70’s we were experiencing….where have you been 1717? Teens last night, vs 70 overnight last Friday night?

Also, and even more important is the climo aspect of the whole thing…it’s just a tad too early too. Every week now means a lot as we approach our climatological window for legit threats…which is fast approaching, but not quite here just yet in SNE.

Out your way maybe..he’s been dead out here for weeks and weeks.

Yup.

Ya that’s not happening for most all of us in SNE, unless we get a lil more of a cold press. But hey, at least it’s something to watch.

Better? Worse?

Lol, oh I’m dealing with it, was just pointing out what I think is bothering folks. And to be clear, we all do appreciate the professional opinions from the Mets.

Ya I get what he’s saying..but to a point. We still do have 10 days left to November, so it is extremely early for SNE with regards to chances for snow in our area. Here’s the problem, I think the bottom line is everybody hates to see a hostile(or somewhat hostile look) as we enter into the beginning of our climatological wheelhouse for snow chances in SNE in December. It gives a bad vibe, which can lead to a bad start, and that is bothersome and irritating for winter enthusiasts. Mixed signals as we approach early December…I guess we gotta see what happens on the modeling this last 10 days of November.

Ok fair enough. Like Hub Dave said…perhaps it’s just a seasonable lol for late November/Earky December?

That’s a lil different than what you said yesterday afternoon, when you said “the bad look is coming…it’s been modeled.” Not trying to be a jerk or anything, Just trying to make sure I understand your reasoning that’s all. So this morning you’re not quite sure if it’s an all out torch/or hostile pattern, because it’s(longer range ensembles) waffling again?

That’s quite the change from 12z no?

Western CT mauler….Danbury with 6+ on that depiction.

Well, the Canadian agrees with you I guess. That is a stark difference for sure.

Ya, he’s weak. Same old same old with that clown

Ya he(and 1717)chastised all of us for saying it was gonna go below normal…he excommunicated!!