WinterWolf
-
Posts
21,168 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WinterWolf
-
Yes, they’re all over the darn map(no pun intended). And that’s why I asked why even bother looking at OP runs…especially 2 weeks plus out?
-
My point exactly.
-
And it agreed with the others lmao. It’s a weekly tool..not an OP run at 384 hrs. And I only said it looked good, as they others did. I didn’t cite individual storms at 13 and 16 days out, and say it looks likely. There’s a huge difference there. And if you can’t see that, you’re blind as a bat, and tough crap. And I’m not disingenuous as some others are. When it looks like crap I say it. When it doesn’t, I say that too.
-
Lmao…the songs were written when they had a few December’s like Will just showed you that we had in the first decade of the 2000’s. Cycles. Some December’s it snows. Some and many more than that don’t.
-
Yes sir. We step down.
-
Ahhh thank you…the voice of reason. That’s the problem, you have people yelling that it should be snowing now. Well that doesn’t happen most of the time in SNE in the first week of December.
-
That is a whole different idea than an OP run at 384 hrs…..and the foolish crap is you know that, and you’re just being a tool.
-
Ok. Fair enough.
-
Absolutely stunning!
-
The bigger question is….do you feel OP runs at 13 and 16 days out are a good representation of where we might be by then? And before you ask if I would say that if it was showing snow, my answer is “I certainly would.” I mean the ensembles are so volatile at 6-7 days out, one can’t put any faith in those currently. So the fact that we have little continuity with those, means the Op runs are even more worthless than normal, and especially so at more than two weeks out.
-
that’s ok though…we regroup shortly after and make a run. I’m not worried in the least. Hoping to get up to the county day after Xmas…I feel that’s still a decent possibility up there.
-
That JMA is a real nice look.
-
Allsnow is a troll…comes in here and weenies everybody, what crap that is. Stay in your own forum if you aren’t gonna contribute anything of substance. As you said Ray..just drones/and foot soldiers of BS.
-
Been plenty of middling events last couple yrs..T-2”, covering-1”…1-2”, those have been common lately too.
-
Even better. Good one.
-
Another dumb post….for two weeks out. You told us November was gonna be a torch from two weeks out too…
-
A record breaking/historic winter here to boot in 1996.
-
He’s unbearable. Mr Tauntmeh is a good name for that guy.
-
As we’ve said before, a great pattern doesn’t necessarily mean a great result. I’d certainly sign up for the very good/great look, but we can still get stumped. Sometimes ya need a little good fortune too, to go along with the nice look. Law of averages say we’ll get some good fortune imo. I think we’ll do fine moving forward.
-
That has me equal with you with wind…I’ll sell that for now.
-
We tried to tell ‘em…
-
Of course…but Happy Brett has us raining and preparing for something 15 days from now. Ridiculous. Should we be preparing for snow 15 days from now? Perhaps we should ask the insightful Brett that question?
-
Lol..ok Brett, thanks for the silly advice 15-16 days from now. My only point was that the off hr runs are trash because they show bizarre solutions(both ways so I’m not just saying rains). Yesterday it showed multi day snows. That’s my point. Flip a coin at this point. Almost zero confidence in anything past 4-5 days now due to mid to long range modeling struggling. We all know where you stand, you and the others are on the same as last year’s train. Thanks for the insightful advice.
-
We have zero snow here, so it’s no matter. Lol. Yesterday the same run showed multi day snows. Off hour garbage both ways. 18z and 6z are such trash…almost every single time it shows something weird either way.
-
Yes, but we all know this roach on Sunday won’t be that. Even then it’s rare.
