Spartman

YOU SHUT UP! Well, excuse me if I ever posted on this forum in the first place! I DIDN'T COME HERE TO BE INSULTED! Hope you get banned for this kind of comment, you troll. This is not the place for these type of insults.

We may have already turned on the faucet. Same thing happened in 2011. Several wet months that year, especially the Spring and Fall. One of the wettest years ever for many, followed by the dreaded Winter 2011-12.

Feels like we've been cheated out a Spring this year. Too many cutoff lows this month, for sure. September 2011 had something similar when two cutoff lows, combined, dominated over half the days of the month resulting in a record wet September. Looks like it may very continue into next month. The end of the 00z Euro run: Also, the MJO's been stuck in the Circle of Death phase all month. According to JB, the last time MJO's stuck in the Circle of Death the entire month of May was back in May 2012, though that was followed by a very hot summer. https://x.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1922477577555366262

Wouldn't be fine when JB officially starts talking about Memorial Day weekend, as of this morning. https://x.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1922282897592971662 CFS v2 and CPC agree. CFS v2: CPC: There are a lot of times that cold Memorial Day weekends have been followed by cooler than normal summers like 2003, 1996, or 1992. Also, the NAO and PNA will be negative by that time while the AO is near neutral.

This year is shot. Ready for 2026 already.

Not fine according to 18z GFS. Thursday May 22 (some spots stuck in the mid to upper 40s): The day before Memorial Day (stuck in the low to mid 50s):

6-10 day: 8-14 day: Just in time for Memorial Day weekend :sarcasm:

8-14 day: Lookin' wet 12z Euro: 18z GFS: Judah bringing up Greenland Blocking leading to a chilly 4th week of May as the large disruption by March's polar vortex comes to an end. https://x.com/judah47/status/1920869876068970801 Another Omega Block shaping up the week before Memorial Day weekend? https://x.com/WxRiskGrains/status/1921357712945734046

Speaking of Memorial Day, the 18z GFS run has a bit of an ugly look for this Memorial Day weekend with a potential cutoff low and being stuck in the 50s Saturday May 24th: Sunday May 25th:

12z Euro: 12z GFS: 12z Canadian: Both 12z GFS and Euro runs are hinting a cutoff low and blocking pattern just before Memorial Day weekend. Quite trainwrecky, for sure. 12z GFS: 12z Euro: This month really needs a Reset button.

000 SXUS71 KILN 070651 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 251 AM EDT WED MAY 07 2025 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD RAINFALL OF 1.16 INCHES WAS SET AT DAYTON OH YESTERDAY, TUESDAY, MAY 6, 2025. THIS BREAKS THE OLD DAILY SITE RECORD OF 0.91 INCHES SET IN 1971. $$ Only in the middle of the 1st week of May, but already have 3" of rain for the month already. No way May's going to be drier than normal by the time the month is over. Keep the stretch of wetter-than-normal months coming over the next several months, especially with some of the near-biblical rains, and we can forget having a summer this year.

Wouldn't count on it. Models hinting another cutoff low for next week. 12z GFS: 12z Canadian: It gets worse on the 12z GFS run that it keeps us pretty much in Cutoff Land for a good portion of the month, especially about a week after next.

Better be just a blip 12z GFS regarding May 18th, highs stuck in the 40s: