The 4 Seasons

roads are even covered here in North Haven. No salt or prep before hand so it stuck to everything. His roads are covered as well

yeah, looks absolutely nothing like the 12Z HRRR

Some reports so far.

thanks thats helpful. All snow here and 32

are you in downtown New Haven now? It's all snow in North Haven, over 1/2" so far 32F.

Approaching moderate. 0.5" so far, so should def make it to an inch+. @Sey-Mour Snowhas over an inch already.

heavy heavy coating. Actually picked up quite a bit in the past 10-15 minutes, solid snow growth too

Steady light snow, roads are completely covered here. Hovering around 32.

Your Icon came way back N. Looks terrible verbatim for NYC which is why im assuming you didn't post it but a big hit for CT. Either way id rather have it trend in that direction than S again. Not that it means much coming from the Icon. This seems like a highly volatile situation and anomalous storm track. I don't recall any storms in the past that tracked like this giving a region wide warning event. I tried to look at CIPS but it seems they stopped running models on 12/18 for some reason.

its not updated yet im sure, if the CWA south of them is going 100% snow and cat pops.

OKX going with categorical "Snow." 80% pops for Friday, seems a little aggressive. Given the wild swings the past 24 hours. Hopefully some agreement tonight/tom and stability in runs.

Yeah, GFS has been pretty juiced up last 4 runs. Definitely the wettest model by a lot. I don't expect 18Z to be much different.

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-13-2024 Last big one in the historic storms section due to the swath of 12-16" it left. That was the most recent 12"+ storm in CT. Unfortunately nothing last season. In fact, all of SNE managed to go a whole winter season without a 12"+ event.

Last 3 were pretty much non-existent for our area. I Haven't cracked 20" since Winter 21-22.

Here comes the cracked out NAM run, jacks SW CT and LHV.

"...And Papi with the walk-off home run! We're goin to game 5."

yea thats what i figured. i've seen a few weird ones like this in the past, and i remember one in November one time that was sub-advisory 1-3" but they put one out because it was the first one of the season, and it was right at rush hour.

This is one of the most bizarre advisories i've ever seen. Winter Weather Advisory for sub-advisory snow. "up to two inches"

Full SNE. Pretty much the same as the first call from yesterday though shifted the 1-3 line farther away from the coast in SE areas and up 91 low elevation areas.

But what does the Navy say? Oh wait, it hasn't run since Thanksgiving. Guess it's hibernating for now. Good runs overall tonight, AI models as well. Big moves, good moves. MJO- No Access to MA? What happened, they banned you in the Mid Atlantic forums?

Yeah that 00Z run was completely cracked out and unrealistic. We had a similar type nuisance event almost to the day 4 years ago, Dec 24th, 2021. Similar NW-SE track and qpf trajectory, though interior MA should certainly see more snow than that one. I think we're all just tired of these and foaming at the mouth for a region wide warning event to satiate our snowless appetites.

Dec 14th, 2025 just went up in the archive as the 2nd 3"+ event of the season with the snowfall maps above, a full radar loop and sfc/h5 images. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-2025

Dec 14th, 2025 just went up in the archive as the 2nd 3"+ event of the season with the snowfall maps above, a full radar loop and sfc/h5 images. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-14-2025

Yep, Northbridge COOP it seems. I noticed that too I'll keep that in mind, i want to redo all these next year and make them more accurate. Some of the COOP sites drive me crazy they are either suspiciously low all the time or suspiciously high and many of them ALWAYS report in whole numbers which also drives me crazy. Like Thomaston Dam, West Thompson Lake, Mount Carmel in CT are always reporting low and round down...to the nearest integer. Back in the day, especially prior to 2007ish and definitely in the 90s all there was was COOP. Another one is Lawrence, MA COOP it's always been insanely low and whole numbers only, while the Gardner COOP has been on the other end of the spectrum. Care to elaborate? Blue Hill, to me, appears like the snow magnet capital of E MA. They seem to jackpot a lot and do extremely well in marginal situations but it's not like their elevation is 1k+ or something, it's only 635 which im sure helps but not to the extent i see some of these storms and totals they have. Like March 4-6th, 2001, Feb 1-3, 2021 or March 13-15th, 2023 are good examples off the top of my head.

that was a hell of a year, from straight rat to #1 for BOS all time. talk about a back loaded winter 150.8 at Blue Hill SNE Seasonal Snowfall