Totals took a while to compile. I want to thank everyone for their reports and speaking with me in the DMs. It's always tough when there is a sharp gradient in CT compounded by very high winds that cause blowing and drifting snow.
I felt overall our forecast was very good, especially with the division between major snowfall totals (i.e. 1 foot+) and more pedestrian totals in the 6-12" range. We verified extremely well across a good portion of the state and population distribution. The gradient was even tighter than we forecast with less than 6-12" in the NW hills (3-6" there) and an area above the 20" threshold in far eastern and southeast CT (20-25" there).
Overall CT Grade: B+
Final Call:
First Call:
Overall Tri-state Grade: B+
Final call:
New Haven & Fairfield County totals:
Town by town snowfall totals in CT
This is the first time i created a liquid totals map to derive a snowfall ratio map as well. These numbers are (mostly) from CoCorahs, but take them with a grain of salt. There was a lot of smoothing and numbers that were completely thrown out due to being completely out of reality. This includes, the official totals from BDR and BDL! BDLs official snowfall was recorded as 6.8" with a liquid total of .21. This gives them an average ratio of 32:1. Obviously this was not used, as well as BDR. I did the best with the data i had to work with for these maps. Please use this as a GENERAL reference to liquid/ratios for this storm.
A few times Jan 2015 was brought up in regards to this storm. There were many runs of the GFS and NAM that this showed up in the top 15 on CIPS and even a couple times it was #1 on the NAM. The surface low from Jan 2015 swung out wide and took a near due north track over the 40/70 benchmark, while slowing down signficantly and nearly stalling around the cape. This track and evolution were very similar to the 1/28-29/22 snowstorm. This, along with the H7 mid-level FGEN confined to eastern CT/RI and SE MA. In terms of sensible weather, snowfall and gradient of snowfall was also very similar. Jan 28-28/22 was like a Jan 26-27th lite. Lop about 3-6" over most of CT and the totals were pretty darn close. Not to mention the extreme gradient west of the river to about the 91-corridor.