yea thats just a difference between LFOs, BOX only goes up to the NH/VT boarder...they used to have the southern most 2 NH counties but a few years ago GYX took them over.
Yeah, that's something we're waiting to see but i think for now we're gonna hold off on any changes. I like our 4-8" statewide right now, might end up splitting it up and going a touch higher in N CT.
Well using beyond say 24-36hrs is always risky business and we are just starting to get in that range, add to the fact a lot of the other mesos and hi res stuff is much colder and more in-line with the GFS/EC/GEM.
It'll come around tonight and i surely would not be surprised to see it being on the other end of the spectrum with a run or two dumping 1ft+ in CT.
First call. Given the fact that we are still 60+ hrs out we went with a general 4-8" for CT with highest end of the range likely for N CT and lower amounts near the coast. The globals GFS/EC/GEM being south at 12Z and colder were a good sign but we're not ready to the pull the trigger on bigger amounts 6-10/8-12 for CT just yet. We're also allowing for some tics north/warmer in future runs. Right now 4-8" for most of CT with sleet/zr slot ending as some light snow possibly. Not to mention lift in the DGZ looks god awful but several hours of 8-10:1 snowfall will achieve these ranges atm.
The funny thing is 10:1 is almost exactly the same for CT, RI and most of MA. So especially for this storm there's even less of reason to post it. It's zonked out in CNE and NNE obv due to the much cooler max T in the profile
What an epic bust down here in CT from about 91 and west. I remember it vividly. We were under a blizzard warning with calm winds and clear skies. OKX wouldn't pull the plug until about 9PM. Got about 2" from WAA snows on the front end and that was it. E CT did well and verified the warnings.
Final totals in CT. Thanks for all the reports. Ill be working on a season to date snowfall map so dont forget to update New England Snow website.
I think we were pretty bullish on this event from the start but clearly not enough. Grade is based solely on the final call. We issued a short-term map update after the event started. Least amount of the snow fell in far N and NW CT and i think most of the state was within the 1-3" range. We busted way low on the eastern 1/3rd of the state with 4-8" there.
Final Grade: C-
Final Call:
Short-term update:
Any final totals in CT please send them my way. Reports are tough for this one because it was so stretched out over time with multiple parts. Anything would be appreciated, thanks.
Final call. Might end up being on the lower side in parts of eastern and southern CT. Bumped up quite a bit from our first call yesterday morning.
First call.