ah yes, thats what i figured lower res at the starting point which would result in a greater and greater spread in the variables through time. I think i was thinking the same input/calculations but the grid values output was just a lower resolution, that makes sense.
If its just a lower res version wouldn't it spit out the same solution as the op? I figured it would just look smoother/less detail i.e. lower res no matter what point in time you look at. This is the control and op run at hour 240 they look quite a bit different. I've always wondered this because i've heard a lot of other people say this as well
OT but I really wish I was looking at models back when that storm was FX it must have really been something to see. I remember the nws, the weather Channel and local news couldn't hype it enough. I remember Paul kocin said it will possibly be the biggest storm in over 50 years possibly 100 (1888).
There is very few members that update right after an event. I have checked it but there's really no point since I usually have to check the last 10 or so pages to get all the people that didn't update in his site anyways.
It is helpful for making the running seasonal snowfall totals for CT though, I do use it for that. Speaking of which I need to do the first one soon. Most are probably in the 10-20" range atm.
Sorry for the delay on the totals, finally got around to posting this. I thought our final call was overall a good forecast We bumped up across the board to near 0 at the shore and low ending warning amounts in the NW hills. We nailed this area, although the amounts ranged from 4-7 instead of 4-8. The 2-4 area verified mostly well except we underestimated the elevation component of this storm along with mid levels warming south to north while precip was a bit stubborn to push into CT from the SW. This allowed inland areas of SW CT to recieve more snow than the CT river valley up to the MA boarder.
Final Grade: B
Final call and CT snow totals
First call
Snowfall totals from the light snow event from Thursday morning. Our only call was a general 1-2" for much of the state with isolated amounts up to 3". We went less than an inch for the NW part of the state. The transition to rain to longer than expected, especially along the shoreline where it struggled to change to snow until after sunrise. Most of the state picked up 1-2" in our range except for the shore and SE corner where amounts ranged from a half to 3/4s of an inch. The northern CT river valley also stuggled again. There's some extra graphics i did for this one.
Final grade: B-
Final call and snow totals
New Haven and Fairfield county totals
Town by town snowfall totals
If you have any reports please send them my way, i went through the last 10 pages and found a few but not many. I have a bunch of snow totals maps that will be going up tomorrow morning, thanks.
It slept through most of it as it was still raining at 7AM but it looks like about an inch based on other local reports, going to have to go with that as all the snow is wiped out now anyways.
well you were super close, technically not 100% correct but ill give you a consolation prize of $1, but good effort, try again next time
It is: South of 84, North of 95, Interior Southwest CT, Away From Coast
the shoreline has zero pack from a combination of no elevation, warmer temperatures and compounded from the fact they got mostly nothing from Jan 16th event and then even more so from the fact you interior SW guys got 0.5-1.0" from the jan 17th snow when i got a trace.