The 4 Seasons

rippin fat dendies, well over 2 now

bottom range is definitely a lock here, got a shot at the upper end near 8. Radar update.

1.4" in about one hour roughly not exact. Heavy snow. Rates are in the 1-2 range. Will measure again in one hour.

Mod boarderlihe heavy, great flakes size. Beautiful

In meteorology, that's called a threesome.

Add that the 2" you got from Mondays storm

Stick the flag in the ground. 4-8.

FV3 HI Res looks very nice much better than the last run 12z. Sure most would take that on here.

No, we are indeed two different people,but work together. Along with another met here on the board. But I did that graphic, so it was a joke he just posted it for me. We work on the fx together though

Nice graphic

That was only last year, the storm I've been referencing a few times. Most fx were 4-8. The duration was short. 9a-4p here.

i remember it last season too for some reason.

I was getting deja vu with some of these maps so i went back and looked through Feb 7th 2021. Had to share these striking similarities at the surface from models from the Feb 7th 2021 nor'easter. 21 left/22 right

agree

Anyone else noticed that almost all NCEP data has halted at 12Z for NAM/GFS/HRRR. All the sites that have graphics for these models seem to be working fine but everything that has point data, bufkit data, banding hasnt updated since 12Z in most cases. BUFKIT data is all stopped around 12Z: PSU Bufkit Data Distribution Coolwx has nothing for the HRRR/NAM/GFS since 12Z, GFS has 00Z but no 18Z NCEP Model Time-Series (BUFR) Forecast Hourly Weather Data (coolwx.com) this site i use for banding hasnt updated NAM since 12Z moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/ Also i noticed when i click on TT for a sounding it says "model run not available" even though the graphics are available.

Yeah Gfs nice bump up /west. Not to mention this interesting shape over CT..

I can't speak for recent models i.e. 0z/6z but when I looked at 12z gfs/Nam I noticed the dgz was pretty narrow and realitively low with the best lift above it. At least for the CT sites I looked at. I saw a post from oceanstwx about it earlier. What are your thoughts? I imagine the better runs like the 3k Nam and hrrr look better.

Latest okx map, 4-6 all of southern CT reasonable

I like where we are right now I'll have to look closer when I can get on a pc but I thought the 6z hrrr and 3knam look great for ct. Nam was paltry qpf wise but not really worried. 4-8 for most of CT seems pretty reasonable. Could forsee a stripe of 8-10 in e CT.

Southern CT is in a advisory for 4-6 same amount the watches were for. Idc, just think it's kinda funny. Stop stealing my pink polygons!

Warnings up and new watches for MA, advisories up for CT.

Using my phone to look at models is a real pita. But here's some porn.

Hrrr even a bit better than 00Z. Warning snows for CT. It's notable how consistent its been in the long range i.e. 18-48hrs for this storm and the Monday Mid Atlantic storm. It's usually a hot mess in the extended hrrrx range.

This storm and model runs are giving me ptsd flashbacks of 2/7/21

Warnings and weenies flying everywhere in the sky