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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. yeah looks a lot like 12Z. Based on this i expect the Euro to be awful again, which is not good. Good thing is we still have a lot of time, but i'd really like to see the euro make a solid jump NW.
  2. Honestly GEFS is a tick better than 18Z again, QPF aside...the mean and spread has moved west once again.
  3. It's not, its Bakerville COOP, i gotta slide it over west a little bit. Ill add your Canton report i didnt see it in the PNS, just Simsbury at 21 which makes sense
  4. CIPS is just lit up with every single KU you can think of from the 12Z GFS run Boxing Day, Feb 2013, Jan 2016, Jan 1996, Jan 2022, Jan 2015, Jan 2018, Mar 2013, Jan 2014, Dec 2009, Dec 2004. Just thought id give it a look, they change up every run, but a few have been staying on there consistently.
  5. I always say the same thing but in the case of this storm id prefer it to slam into ACK or GON. Would be a ton of qpf ahead of this before any mixing would even be a threat.
  6. PRELIMINARY First pass snowfall totals for CT. If anyone has anything they'd like to add, change or adjust let me know in the next 12 hours or so. I'll have all of SNE/Tri-State and CT done by tomorrow sometime. Not sure if the ranges will change yet, will need to see the whole scope of the area to determine.
  7. Canadian Parallel doesn't count? Would be a solid warning hit at least up to 84. But the old OP is further SE.
  8. Latest National Blend run fwiw. V5 is further SE but still clips SE MA with .5-1.25 Big Bump NW on the 18Z GEFS, theres also a lot more of a spread NW of the mean this time.
  9. Yeah, it improved greatly actually. Lot of spread and members to the NW. Can't believe im looking at the Icon EPS.
  10. The last time it ran on TT was Nov 25th. I was hoping that model dropped dead, not sure if it's even still running.
  11. "Rockport gets destroyed in yet another Blizzard of the Century" Even stronger
  12. yea it did, went right over the BM almost due north.
  13. It went over the BM, it was the speed of movement that halted really insane totals. E MA only got a bit more than we did, 14-18 vs 10-14 over CT. But it was pretty close, great track, just was flying. you can see the sfc/h5 maps on my site if you click the link above. upper levels didn't close off early like this system is progged atm.
  14. Looks like Jan 2018. That was also at nearly the exact same position at this time lead on most models. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-4-2018
  15. good enough, it went in the right direction and at this time lead with GFS, thats all that matters
  16. no lol, if you reported 20 and were just at 19 when the radar looks like that. i just meant its basically done
  17. thats fine wont be doing anything until at least tomorrow afternoon
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