The 4 Seasons

Advisories up for BOX, 1-4" of snow/sleet/zr. seems about right

Ok. Here's my thoughts right now.. Euro definitely the farthest to the right with warm air and SLP riding up north. The other models seem to be all in agreement with the low transfer happening south of us going over around ACK ish, helping to lock in the cold air. Snow growth isn't impressive at all. Most of the lift occuring outside the DGZ on most of the models ive seen. Which is pretty typical with these type of systems punching in warm air aloft as we get going. In terms of snow, id probably lean pretty conservative. Still looks like its going to be a mess though on Thursday and probably a tough call for schools. But with the sleet and freezing rain forecast i think most will close. I think the NWS has right idea. I think you're going to be hard pressed to see much more than around an inch of snow in and around the city into LI. IF that, maybe just a coating

Tough forecast right now. Euro definitely the farthest to the right with warm air and SLP riding up north. The other models seem to be all in agreement with the low transfer happening south of us going over around ACK ish, helping to lock in the cold air. Snow growth isn't impressive at all. Most of the lift occuring outside the DGZ on most of the models ive seen. Which is pretty typical with these type of systems punching in warm air aloft as we get going. In terms of snow, id probably lean pretty conservative. Still looks like its going to be a mess though on Thursday and probably a tough call for schools. But with the sleet and freezing rain forecast i think most will close.

And thats the NAM which is on the colder side of guidance. The ECMWF is significantly warmer. Temps will shoot up briefly pretty much everywhere in CT for a few hours

GFS has been the most consistent, doesn't mean the euro is wrong either. But its kind of on its own with that look. The GFS has support from most of the other models

Clear trend on the GEM. GFS has been pretty consistent with not much change run-run. And id say the Euro for that matter, overall, being the farthest north and warmest

It's a real dr no thing to do, to be delayed for an hours then still f*** us with a crappy run

Yea, i think it was this one! thank you for the link, thats what i was looking for.

No, not that. I have that one, thats just for the american suite. I forget who shared it but it had information on the european and i think other foreign models? When they were delayed and why. Hopefully someone who knows can share it, id just like to have to link for the future as well.

whats that source page that has info about model delays etc. i saw someone posted it here a while back, id like the link for that

yeah the trend has been very clearly pushing south and colder on most models for the past day or so.

12Z trends looks fantastic so far for SNE. Everything coming in colder and south, GGEM, GFS, UKMET looks like a solid 2-5 for most and then ending as some sleet/zr. Thursday looks like a complete mess.

EC/GEM also ticking colder What i find interesting is that GEFS wants nothing to do with the Thursday system, despite the OP being consistently the coldest/farthest south with the LP. Even the GEPS/EPS are much more robust and snowier.

Yeah theres definitely bit a a cooling/south trend with the ECMWF past few runs

GFS looks very similar to 18Z

Yeah but the trend is good, itll figure it out. That model is like if the clown range had a clown range. But its good to see it go in that direction rather than opposite anyway..

SNE snowfall totals

This ain't 2013 no mo. Though we may see 37" in the next few weeks

Tri-state snowfall totals for the clipper

The rare jackpot around here @Hoth

CT Snowfall totals. Thanks for the reports from everyone. Reports are from here, cocorahs, coop and nws PNS. Ill be doing a tri-state map and SNE map as well. I think overall it was solid a general 1-3" for much of the state with an area of 3+ in southern CT. 0-1 area worked out well across extreme coastal New London. A- Edit: Added Tri-state snowfall totals

Literally got screwed again, extreme SE CT got <1, and were talking like the beaches less than a mile inland. Those S/SE winds are a bitch.

So not a dusting?

Send me your totals for CT and anywhere in SNE if you want them on the maps ill be doing. Looks like most ended up in the 1-3" range..towards the higher end of the range. Some a bit over. Haven't seen any 4" or 5" amounts being reported but that doesnt surprise me.

last final burst, heavy snow. probably near 3