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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The Euro has been adamantly stubborn, so well see if it ever catches on, or we reach a middle ground somewhere SE of the BM that teases everyone.
  2. That was a very good run overall. Solid 30-40mi bump N/NW in the closed Low at 500. Looks like the GEFS should bump NW early on. The Machine was only a tick or so better, funny how far SE that went and were watching it correct back NW after it ran over HFD a couple days ago
  3. Yep thats not even debatable since 22-23 was 01-02 level bad. 23-24 and 24-25 were also dog shit winters that didn't even crack 20" here. 21-22 was the last OK (at best) winter across the region.
  4. thanks. saw it did very good on the Jan 25-26th storm, just curious about it. too many models..
  5. What exactly does Weathernext2 show and where do you see it?
  6. Good news is i wont have to do a map for this stupid event did anyone in CT even get measurable? We'll find out tomorrow, im sure Norfolk 2SW got a half inch somehow.
  7. Oh yeah the mean went up on the EPS and AIEPS with several big hits in there about 8-10 on the EPS
  8. you have some weenievista maps, wxbell isn't out yet
  9. Euros been out for a while, its worse than 18Z but better than 12Z. still off shore
  10. Overall the EC is worse than 18Z but better than 12Z The CMC para is a tick SE of the OP, but improved a lot from its 12Z run.
  11. Icon is by far the worst global and the NAM at 84 or extrapolating past 84 should be weighted 0%. I'd say that regardless it's a terrible model in the short term let alone 60 or 84hrs out. The Euro/UK being OTS is the real concern, not the NAM/Icon powerhouse.
  12. definitely better NW spread on the mean as well.
  13. i've noticed that with other storms like Jan 25-26th but isn't always the case like Jan 18-19th, they latched on to that earlier than OPs
  14. i think they all did from what ive seen. was just looking at the GFS/GEM/NAM they were all pretty bad
  15. Haven't been paying much attention to the epic fog threat, so i have no idea but. Vis on surrounding ASOS have gone up for the most part around here, but there seems to be some pockets of more dense fog <1SM
  16. Yeah, lots of wasted potential. Starting with that Feb 1-2 tease.
  17. my gut is this is the typical 6/18Z flopping we just saw with Feb 16-17 coastal and Feb 1-2 SE scraper. Hopefully im wrong on that and 00Z continues a W trend.
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