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RIC Airport

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  1. RIC Airport
    That's great to know, but I would be careful using the ICON and CMC for sniffing out east coast snowstorms. ICON hasn't been around long enough, and CMC has only won once in like the last 15-20 years over the GFS/Euro. I'm not trying to be a killjoy, just saying. I think they might be useful closer in though.
  2. RIC Airport
  3. RIC Airport
    There is still potential for 2/5, but I became uninvested after yesterday's 12Z runs. Today's 12Z EPS only had 1-2 good hits, even fewer than yesterday and the day before, so the trend has not been great. Meanwhile, today's updated weeklies continue to sing the same tune for late February into March. That's really the only thing we can ask for at this juncture, with the hopes the pattern will deliver for our area. I do not see the need to cancel the winter.
  4. RIC Airport
    Trend definitely isn’t good.
  5. RIC Airport
    Certainly nothing like yesterday.
  6. RIC Airport
    The 12z euro was still close to something big, but it gets shredded so it's too far south and east.
  7. RIC Airport
    There is a lot of spread on the models, it's good that the farther north solutions are still showing up. The 12Z GEFS had a mixed breed of solutions. A couple hits, some southern misses, and even quite a few rainy members. You can see why the 50th percentile is so empty because only a couple members are driving up the mean.
  8. RIC Airport
    Today's 12z operational GFS is still south with the 2/4 to 2/6 low. Will be interesting to see how the ensembles look. We need the upper low over the Canadian Maritimes (A) further east so the low in the gulf (B) can amplify and come north. The 12z GFS was farther north than the 6z run so there is that.
  9. RIC Airport
    Could be just me, but I am not able to see what you posted, @ldub23. Meanwhile, after reviewing the overnight and morning models, there is still a storm signal for the February 4th to 6th timeframe, but it isn't as impressive as yesterday (i.e. not as many hits). But there is still plenty of time to monitor. Hopefully today is an improvement.
  10. RIC Airport
    GFS was south again with the 2/5 possible storm, but perhaps some snow showers on Saturday with the confluence low pressing south?
  11. RIC Airport
    This starts at 12z 2/2 and finishes at 12z 2/7. You can see the hits in there around 2/5.
  12. RIC Airport
    Charts, @Conway7305
  13. RIC Airport
    Our area is due the most, would love to get a March 1980 blizzard redux. Btw, there were some huge hits on the 18z GEFS as well.
  14. RIC Airport
    @Conway7305, e-32 for is a more believable evolution.
  15. RIC Airport
  16. RIC Airport
    Did you notice in the chart above that E-50 was 24” at RIC?
  17. RIC Airport
    Definitely was an interested solution on the op. Not too many ensemble hits, but a couple were HUGE! ORF and ECG actually had more hits than RIC, possibly indicative of a more southern outcome, rather than snow being displaced north of us like last week.
  18. RIC Airport
    It actually look similar to that one ensemble member I posted the other day. The 00z GFS had it hitting NC, and the 6z was suppressed to the south, but as you mentioned, some of the 6z ensembles were hits for us. We can expect to see wild swings from run to run with the pattern change. Hang tight, everyone!! Thank you for thinking about us.
  19. RIC Airport
    Well, the Euro went all in last night.
  20. RIC Airport
    Might want to look at the surface temps. Also the ensembles are rainy east of the mountains.
  21. RIC Airport
    I wish I had turned the air on before I went to bed last night. I woke up around 3am, surprisingly uncomfortable. We certainly over-performed with the temperatures this week, especially considering how cold it got last week. I hope our region cashes in before all is set and done. As you mentioned, the operational runs haven't shown much yet, but hopefully, after the weekend, we begin seeing the advertised pattern take shape.
  22. RIC Airport
    I love it! Really hope it pans out for us, there are quite a few good snowstorms that have hit us between the 10th and 20th of February.
  23. RIC Airport
    Explain?
  24. RIC Airport
    Just piggybacking off your records are made to be broken comment.
  25. RIC Airport
    I hope I'm alive when DCA hits -16°F.
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