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pazzo83

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Everything posted by pazzo83

  1. does this suggest the Niña is breaking down?
  2. yeah the timing is just about perfect for that.
  3. lol the 3:55pm ob was just like - yeah not gonna get this one.
  4. I agree with you wrt the uncertainty given the short timeframe here with respect to inferring causality. Obviously the climate is warming, but has there been some profound change in that base state since like 2016/2017 or is there some other temporary phenomenon at play. If this is still happening as we approach the late 2020s (or it's getting worse), then I think we'll have something more concrete to work with.
  5. I know the more urbanized parts of the metro (DC/Arlington/Alexandria) are not representative of most folks here, but the warning signs are there. I mean it basically doesn't get below 20F without some severe shot of Arctic air (like what is coming this weekend). Frankly without some reinforcing shot of cold air, it struggles to get into the upper 20s. For the most part, most of the winter (at least over the past few years), DC stays above freezing, even at night.
  6. I mean this "arctic shot" is likely gonna put DC only in the mid-upper teens. These cold shots have been moderating, at least for the east coast, quite profoundly over the past few years.
  7. this is the type of thing I'd expect with a climate going haywire. Should be an interesting day
  8. In terms of the cold, people are talking up some days with lows in the teens and highs in the 20s? That used to be routine... I do get that the worst of the cold will be well to our west (again), but still.
  9. It just seems like it's difficult for the urban areas from NYC southward (maybe even BOS these days) to get that cold absent a real fresh shot of arctic air (that is usually fleeting). It wasn't exactly balmy today (NYC high of 44, DCA 50), but NYC is around 36 now at 1am, and DCA is at 41. Here in Tenleytown we've basically been stuck around 38-39 for the past several hours. Most nights, we stay above freezing.
  10. seriously if I see another March 01 reference I swear...
  11. 37F in Tenleytown, 39F at DCA. Not great starting points for ice.
  12. remember the annual early Dec snow? Almost like clockwork.
  13. it's plenty representative of the 2 million+ people that live inside the beltway. I would hear the same nonsense about KNYC (Central Park) being a joke. It's the station for NYC, not your random suburb.
  14. the fact that DCA struggles to get below freezing with reasonably "cold" air masses these days is telling.
  15. yep we had a brief period as well in Tenleytown. 42-43 here (at my new elevation of about 380 ft lol).
  16. I have my station set up now up in Tenley - looks like in general I run about 2-3F lower than DCA (40.5F at the moment vs 43F). Still some heat island because we are close enough to Wisconsin Ave but the elevation makes a difference.
  17. yeah it's pretty common for there to be snow up there and "white rain" downtown. looks like DCA got down to 33F - 34F downtown here.
  18. low of 32F here downtown (West End) - although in a week I will be at around 400ft up in Tenleytown lol (we are moving).
  19. No freeze at DCA (37) - we wait another day. NYC and BOS also bottomed out in the upper 30s.
  20. I know it's about to get cold (although we'll see if downtown / DCA actually get a freeze), but the first part of this month has been insane: Nov 1: 76/57 Nov 2: 71/53 Nov 3: 72/51 Nov 4: 75/52 Nov 5: 79/62 Nov 6: 79/66 Nov 7: 81/59 Nov 8: 62/49 Nov 9: 61/45 Nov 10: 70/48 Nov 11: 71/63 (so far)
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