pazzo83

Here's a good animation showing those areas of open water expanding...

Even if it's a coincidental confluence of events that's behind this, you'd have to think we are approaching a situation where it starts to "run away" so to speak. In other words, melting begets melting.

Is it possible that there those record levels in the Antarctic over the past couple years were only in coverage and not necessarily volume (as in, the ice was more widespread but demonstrably thinner)?

Some of what I read suggests some changes in circumpolar winds, but to cause an almost 6SD drop?

Not an error. Something is going on... http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/arctic-antarctic-sea-ice-polar-global-warming-climate-change-india-alaska-a7458881.html

Meanwhile in Antarctica, a big ol' WTF

Sea ice growth in the Arctic slowing again:

"source of data" != your anecdotal monitoring

Look at the buoys at or above 80N - temps are are in the mid-upper 20s F wtf. http://iabp.apl.washington.edu/maps_daily_table.html

Wait - we lost nearly 100,000 sq km of ice coverage in ONE day? Also, all those records are within the last decade. Man, we are f*cked.

Does that main max in the late part of the year happen because the Antarctic sea ice is just passed its max plus the Arctic is supposed to be rapidly freezing up? If so, I'd wager this is a combo of the wholesale lack of sea ice in the Arctic plus a paltry (relative to normal) level in the Antarctic.

For EST: 0hr - 7pm (-1 day) 3hr- 10pm (-1 day) 6hr - 1am 9hr - 4am 12hr - 7am 15hr - 10am 18hr - 1pm 21hr - 4pm 24hr - 7pm 27hr - 10pm 30hr - 1am (+1 day) 33hr - 4am (+1 day) 36hr - 7am (+1 day) 39hr - 10am (+1 day) 42hr - 1pm (+1 day) 45hr - 4pm (+1 day) 48hr - 7pm (+1 day) 51hr - 10pm (+1 day) 54hr - 1am (+2 days) 57hr - 4am (+2 days) 60hr - 7am (+2 days) 63hr - 10am (+2 days) 66hr - 1pm (+2 days) 69hr - 4pm (+2 days) 72hr - 7pm (+2 days) 75hr - 10pm (+2 days) 78hr - 1am (+3 days) 81hr - 4am (+3 days) 84hr - 7am (+3 days) 87hr - 10am (+3 days) 90hr - 1pm (+3 days) 93hr - 4pm (+3 days) 96hr - 7pm (+3 days) You get the idea.

Is there any way, from a now-casting perspective, to see how this path will ultimately play out at this point? Or will that become more evident tomorrow?

Yea I wasn't really prepping for 35" here in midtown.

Umm, pin.

Pin please.

Here's the EST equiv for the UTC times in the models: 0z = 7pm EST (-1 day) 6z = 1am EST 12z = 7am EST 18z = 1pm EST I guess that's one good thing about working for a British company.