Going to be incredibly difficult to measure. Forked river had 12.5 official measurement at 510AM... we are still getting good rates 3 miles south in my area. We are pushing that 18 inch top end prediction already I would guess.
Wind now gusting to 45 at Barnegat Light.
If that band shifted just 15-20 miles west, lots of people would be under 2-3 inch rates with these ratios. I'm on the very western edge of it. Still bonkers rates since 330AM
Heavy band seems to be drifting east off the ocean county coast. My snow rates just fell and beginning to get the feeling we will sit in subsidence for awhile.
Wow... band just moved back in. I tried to get measurements for 10 minutes while forcing my dog to come out to do his business. Impossible. Def. Over 14. Some drifts approaching 4 foot across my street.
You may be right. Not sure we will get accurate measurements. That 12.5 in Forked river was almost 2 hours ago and we are still getting 2-3 inch an hour. Who knows. Good storm.
Someone in Ocean County will get a lollipop of 2 foot of powder.. rates are INSANE right now. 3 more hours of this will give someone 8 additional inches.
To my untrained eye, the storm just went on a rapid tilt, and looks to be really pumping some moisture over us now... intensity comes and goes, but I think I'll see over at foot on barnegat bay. Impossible to measure.
Ripping fatties on Barnegat Bay... Much to my dismay, my GSP will hunt in any condition, but wanted no part in the 40+mph wind and sideways snow. Going to be nearly impossible to measure snow. Have bare ground less than 5 feet from 3+ foot drifts. Wind keeps increasing.
Finally moderate snow and the roads have caved with the temps and intensity. Flake size increased and wind continues to ramp up.
Should absolutely DUMP from 2AM-8AM
For totals, I still wouldn't trust it as far as I could throw it, but for precip location and banding during an approaching storm, absolutely. Just my opinion from over the years.
Radar filling in offshore, and temp just crashed to 30.9 from 33.7 in the past half hour. Dusting remains and light snow just began again after a brief lull. Game time.
Radar and short term models are going to play so many tricks on those who have stayed up for the past week for all of the runs. (Myself included)
Its Friday Night Game Time... Rally the Troops.
Time will tell. I fish the NE and have for 30+ years. I also take monthly samples that are irrelevant compared to SST satellite temps. Too many variables to draw conclusions to any single event, let alone season. Still enjoy. And still see potential. just ramping up.
Edit: commercially fish and observe the NE canyons for a living. (Walking dog and typing...give me a break)
They weren't, and I'll eat crow when the fat lady sings her tune. Going to have some further praise towards the GFS if the signal was indeed first recognized by the least trusted models prior to 48 hours. Going to be an interesting year end report by many forecasters.
Storm is bombing out. Let's enjoy.