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Let's not get too carried away running towards the end zone here, Leon is still with us. Last year's Valentine's debacle didn't really bust until 24h before the event start … which would be the 18Z suite.

Real, and spectacular.

Going to sleep. Will know by the page count (currently 53) if the Euro has followed the NAM offshore or not.

Meme me up, Scotty.

It would be very 2025 for the NAM to score a coup over all the other guidance for the first time in the direction of "not a storm" rather than its usual excitement over storms that fizzle/miss.

GFS looks great for SNE/coastal areas (this is out to 240h). G

A rare year where the west side of the mountain has better snow than the east.

Nice little band here near KBOS. Was -SN but just glanced out the window and back to SN.

Hokkaido has as many people as the Boston MSA, with a slightly larger land mass. Still, Sapporo snow is ridiculous. They average 182" per year, a bad year is still 125, and a good year pushes in on 300. January 1981 had 107" of snow, which is slightly more, but really not that much, than Boston got in that period.

Metro populations here. Depending on how you count, Boston is 5-8 million (MSA vs CSA), Sapporo is 2.6m.

BOS got more snow that month than any other city of its size (4 million plus), ever, in history. Sapporo gets more but it's smaller. BOS also had its second-coldest month on record (behind just Feb 1934), second-coldest low max (39, behind 36 in Jan 1875), 43 days below 40 (second place 38), 15 days below freezing (second place, 16, 1961) and 28 days with a low below 20 (second place: 23). It was basically normal temps for Minneapolis, except with way more snow. It's also when I went walking on the Charles and people were afraid I pointed out that it is basically a lake and Minneapolis spends its entire winter on frozen lakes. (Also, when people said "but combined sewer outfall" I asked when it had rained or melted enough.) What was even more wild is how easy the melt was. Just a bunch of dry, warm days, very little rain until late March (one earlier storm in the 30s meant the snowpack mostly absorbed it) and no flooding. Just imagine what a warm March rainstorm with 3" of precip would have done! (I remember some worry about this.) I think the Charles melted out in early April after three solid months. Almost definitely the longest stretch of ice cover.

Was that the anafront that wasn't? IIRC the South Coast got pummeled but it never really made it past TAN.

Or CLT.

KBOS hit -1. And was sitting at 5.5" of snow for the season on 1/23 (half of which fell in November). So far, give me this Jan over anything in the past decade aside from 2022 and 2018 (and 2018 started out cold and snowy but was 60 by the 12th.

BOX was saying 8-12 for Boston at 4 a.m. on the 12th (the day before) and wound up with 0.1.

It was clear at the 12Z models that Monday that the event was going way south and Massachusetts would be a non-event, but that didn't keep a bunch of cities from declaring snow emergencies that morning (after the modeling came out) and then having egg (but not snow) on their face the next day.

The rug pull last February 12, 24h before the event, at least in Massachusetts, was impressive.

About half of this forum networked their CPUs for this run. Me included.

The salmonpling

Areas in that deform band could see 2' of snow with 15:1 ratios.

Tuesday of what decade?

My back still hurts from shoveling Valentine's Day last year.

a.k.a. the Mitch Scenic Byway