Chinook
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Everything posted by Chinook
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Did 1995 almost make the list?
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My area had a couple of periods of rain, mostly associated the upper-level lift, and not much associated with higher CAPE. We had stratiform rain yesterday morning. Then, we had a very nice blue skies with a high temp of about 80 degrees and breeze to 15mph, with some cumulus clouds later. Then, at 11:30PM, we had this
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For eastern Colorado, the trend over the next week should be upwards-- possibly peaking at about 100 degrees on July 8th, but that is 9 days away.
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Southwest Iowa is has dew points of 75-79 right now.
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The drought has been getting steadily worse for a number of areas. The GEFS ensembles don't show any notable above-normal precip areas in the southwestern 1/4 of the US very soon.
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There will probably be quite a few more storm reports out of these sections of the line that are bowing outward.
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Sorry to hear that. I guess the storms missed your area. There was almost no precip on radar-estimated storm total for your area. My place got some moderate rain today, with a few loud rumbles of thunder. maybe 0.25"-0.40". As I said yesterday, my area kind of keeps getting lucky. Yesterday the storm total was about 0.12" but it felt like more.
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There have been plenty of hail reports near Colorado Springs, now the storm has 75 dBz. There could have been a tornado, but there are no reports.
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This is west of Rockford and northeast of Davenport. I am not sure if these rotation area(s) are a tornado or not.
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There's a new storm with up to 1" hail heading for downtown Denver.
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possible tornado near Colorado Springs/ Palmer Divide
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Interesting note for Raindancewx: Go look up this 1 hour long video of the sun. This video should have enough info to show nearly one complete cycle of sunspots. NASA released a truly epic video on Wednesday that compiles 10 years of the Solar Dynamics Observatory's views of our star.
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I think there's a possibility for a damaging squall line in SW Michigan. This model run is not really an outlier or anything like that.
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So, how do the 00z model runs change the outlook significantly?
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My area had a brief rain shower last night, and today, we had a couple of thunderstorms (no hail.) Tomorrow, the Front Range may see some more areas of thunderstorms, with large hail as a possibility. It is nice that it's not totally dry recently. At least my area is getting close to average for rainfall, with, probably at least 1.52" for the month.
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This squall line has already produced several severe wind reports in the last hour, and intensify to produce many more severe wind reports.
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possible 2-3" hail with increasing rotation northeast of Great Bend, KS
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Up to 7000 J/kg today, and it's only 1:00PM Central
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I am a little surprised that they upgraded to moderate risk today (wind, hail only)
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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
Many areas around DFW got around 2" of rain, but some storm cells must have sat over Dallas for a long time. -
One Arizona wildfire has grown to 151,000 acres at the same time a COVID-19 troubles.
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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
I was looking at the radar for a thunderstorm in Amarillo, and then I came upon something I hadn't thought about for a long time. Coming from the north, US-87/287 splits into two streets southbound, two streets northbound. It then combines into a single street that is US-87. Then US-87/I-27 goes to the south of town, but US-287 goes east, after combining with I-40 at the large interchange. US-287 then splits away from I-40. -
Sunset last night was a little red, possibly due to forest fires in Arizona.
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Picture of the derecho on June 6
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A couple of days ago, I was going to post about how hot it is going to be. Today, I found some GEFS runs that show a cool and wet period coming up. So maybe this could be a nice (short) period of drought relief for CO/KS, possibly NM and WY. The way things are going, it is going to take many months to get out of the drought in southern Colorado.
