Chinook

this one is just for Mayjawintastawm... finally we have a long-range GFS run the connects the possible Caribbean hurricane with the cold front in New England

Yesterday, my area was totally clear except for some beautiful lenticular clouds. It has been probably 2 weeks or more since I saw the mountains with so much clarity, for example, 50 miles visibility out to the Indian Peaks. Today, it is clear, and I can see a little bit of smoke to my northwest from the active fire, with no haze/smoke in any other areas. Some of the trees are really changing to nice colors, although the wind knocked off a significant amount of leaves from a few trees. The GEFS shows broadly cooler air across the Midwest and into our area in the upcoming week.

Granby at 8200 ft had snow reported today. My area dropped from 80 yesterday to about 51 at 6:00PM today.

My area has measured wind gusts up to 47mph right now with the cold front. That ought to mix away the smoke a little bit. Haven't had 45mph since the unusual derecho this summer. Edit: max wind to 51 kt (59mph) at Denver KDEN 112053Z 31035G47KT 3SM HZ SCT090 BKN150 BKN220 16/01 A2983 RMK AO2 PK WND 32051/2041 PRESRR SLP044 T01560006 53033

Smoke and a little bit of ash are affecting me today. Maybe the fires will keep going for another couple of months

I think the center of circulation has made landfall. The radar can be a little confusing if you don't see a complete circle of radar returns, representing the eyewall. wind gusts up to 82mph out of the north at Cameron LA

observation from "South Marsh 268A" which is offshore from Marsh Island: wind 54 kt gusting to 68 kt, which means the gusts are over hurricane force. Texas Point, Sabine Pass TX (on land) - north wind 54 kt gusting to 63 kt.

How do the great November storms correlate with ENSO? Nov 1913: El Nino! Nov 1940 (Armistice Day Storm): El Nino! Nov 1950: La Nina Nov 1966 (985 mb): possibly neutral Nov 1975 (Edmund Fitzgerald): La Nina Nov 2002 (tornado outbreak) El Nino Does anybody else have any thoughts about this?

What if we run out of letters on the Greek alphabet for tropical storms? What if we retire Hurricane Delta? In the future, will we have to go directly from Tropical Storm Gamma to Tropical Storm Epsilon? It doesn't seem right, but if you aren't used to the Greek alphabet, it doesn't sound so bad.

my personal observations since the firey times started AUG 2020 Aug 1: thunder in the area, evening light rain, 0.35" of rain Aug 2: trace of rain Aug 4: 0.04" of rain aug 7: very hot aug 14: Cameron Peak fire, smoke plume above aug 15: Cameron Peak fire, smoke plume above, and smells of smoke, reduced visibility aug 16: smells of smoke, reduced visibility aug 18: high of 98-99 degrees in Loveland aug 19: trace of rain, around 0.05" in Fort Collins aug 20: lightning in the area, around 0.05" in Fort Collins and up to 0.02" in south loveland (none here) aug 22: high of 95.4 here, 96-101 in Loveland. Smells of smoke in the morning, weird sky all day, smoke from california. aug 25: high 95-97 aug 26: trace of rain aug 28: 0.05" aug 29: 0.02", shelf cloud, wind gust to 25mph or 30mph, possibly brief lightning aug 31: 0.01" sprinkles, light rain AUG 2020 0.47" SEP 2020 Sep 5: high of 96-97, heavy smoke, ash fell from the sky Sep 6: high of 94-95 heavy smoke, ash fell from the sky Sep 7: heavy smoke for part of the day, ash fell from the sky. Low 70's here but 80's and 90's elsewhere Sep 7-8: 0.30" of rain/snow by morning. (little snow accumulation) Sep 8-9: 0.63" water equivalent of snow (and possibly rain), 2.8" (CoCoRAHS) (3.5" on car) sep 9-10: 0.03" water equivalent of snow sep 17: low visibility of 5-10 miles, perhaps a hint of smoke smell sep 26: smell of smoke, strange colors later in day. sep 30: smell of smoke early in the day, red sun later in the day (higher altitude smoke) SEP 2020: 0.96" OCT 2020 Oct 2: smell of smoke in the air. small amounts of ash fell from the sky. low visibility, 5 miles Oct 5: smell of smoke in the air. small amounts of ash fell from the sky. low visibility, 5-15 miles, red sun

It's time for a new thread. Even though there is not too much precipitation in the forecast right now, I am sure we will be discussing mountain snows in just a few weeks. As for now, ensemble means show all the western areas having above normal temperatures until a trough comes into the Pacific NW on about Oct 10-11.

The Front Range has been one of the warmest spots in the country, in these 14 days, well after the snowstorm

I used to go through Florida OH, and Texas, OH on old US-24. They're unincorporated, or nearly so.

Nevada, OH must be near Florida, OH, Texas, OH, Kansas, OH, Oregon, OH, Mexico, OH, North Baltimore, OH, and New Philadelphia, OH. Or maybe it's just close to Ohiowa, Nebraska.

Our area cooled down a lot today. It's 50 degrees at Fort Collins. I thought the cooler air was coming in tomorrow, rather than today.

Tonight is a nice clear night. I looked out at the moon, and it looks like Jupiter and Saturn are nearby. just saw this on twitter

I have not posted for a while, since the weather has not done much here. In fact, it is possible that my area could be above normal for the month after having 42/32 on September 9th, which was very below average. I am sorry to hear that the fire is spreading toward Red Feather Lakes. That is a nice little place. This fire season has been awful. Edit: most of the trees in the neighborhood are still green, even though we had snow and 32 degrees. Several trees show some splotches of yellow leaves. The silver maple trees are a combination of green, yellow, and red, so I guess those ones are confused. A few trees have partially wilted leaves. NWS Boulder posted this on their web site:

A little bit off topic here-- but when somebody tells you that they expect the weatherman to be right all the time... (Tropical Depression 20)

I think I got 3-3.5" of snow on elevated surfaces, maybe 2.5" on the ground, 0.93+ on water equivalent. Some rain and drizzle occurred in a couple of time periods. There were some flakes even today.

I'm pretty sure I got something like 1.2" -1.3" on the ground. Fort Collins has a spotter report of 4.7". The rain gauge at Fort Collins-CSU is up to 0.96" since it started. I think my place might have gotten 0.6" water equivalent.

I think my place has 1". So far, I don't think any tree limbs will break. We are just getting out of a heavier band on radar-- there might not be so much left of this storm.

They didn't have a unique color for a 57 degree temp drop

I've got decent sized flakes. Maybe I could get 1" sometime after sunset, as surfaces cool down a bit.

It seems like that batch of snow is just over to the west. I guess it could surprise people at 5:00PM, but hopefully this snow has made enough headlines that people pay attention.

Snowfall and gusty winds are being reported in most of Wyoming right now.