Chinook

No matter what happens, I will try to post some 4- or 5-day loops of GFS 500mb plot, GFS surface/precip, NWS surface analysis, possibly GFS 700-400mb moisture, possibly IR satellite pics, possibly regional radar for Ohio.

Once again, the 12z Canadian has a more phased storm and has 7-10" of snow for western Ohio. I am starting to wonder which group will win the model-wars-- progressive vs deeper and more phased. It will have a lot of impact on my family members.

I'm still rooting for the 00z Canadian for NW Ohio. It came back on board with 6-13" across western Ohio, depending on whether you not you show Kuchera ratios or 10:1.

500mb storm spinning over Albuquerque

Sunset on 11/25

Just for kicks, I dare you to find a GEFS plume/map with over 20" for Columbus, OH

There's a chance that the Southwest will get two closed low pressures at 500mb, without getting much snow out of it, for any state. I read Joe Bastardi's weather discussion for a few years. He constantly mentioned the daily SOI as a source of change in the subtropical jet stream. But I always have had a hard time tracking equatorial disturbances toward the US.

Looks like the middle of Denver got 0.6" liquid equivalent or a bit more.

My place got about 1" (up to 0.15" liquid equivalent) and it was sunny with light winds in the afternoon.

Perhaps a surprise heavy snow band for NE Colorado

The Denver area could get some snow developing early Tuesday. Maybe this one will not be a total bust like the last potential snowstorm. WPC blended forecast has about 0.1" for me and 0.2" to 0.4" near Denver, better snowfall southwest towards the San Juan and Sawatch/mid Colorado.

Any mention of November 2000 brings back the memories of how the Midwest descended into the cold-blitz of December 2000. I think my place got either synoptic snow or lake-effect snow every day that month.

80 degrees after November 15th

I think the models have lost our storm, essentially, showing lighter amounts of snow for the mountains on those days.

Some pics

This may be overdone, but we could get 0.25" or better east of the mountains. According to what I've seen, I guess there is a chance of rain for part of this storm.

Models are showing some snow for Colorado with an open 500mb trough on this Saturday.

Yesterday afternoon, my area had 25-50mph wind gusts, if not more. Late in the afternoon, the temperature was 35 degrees and the wind chill was certainly in the range of 25 degrees. Today, things were a much more normal 57, with just a breeze, and some lenticular clouds.

Some moderate rain/snow and thunder in the Snake River Valley of Idaho tonight.

Our area has some high wind watches. The NAM has about 25 kt (30mph) at the surface and 50 kt (58mph) at 3000 ft above ground tomorrow morning/afternoon. So I'm pretty sure my area will get some gusts to 50mph or more.

My area had 58 on Sunday with less wind than I might have expected, followed up with temperatures around 28 for the snowfall on Monday. Today's models show a little better snow for Friday/Saturday, mostly over 9000ft (east) or 8000ft (west). Perhaps we will have more dropping temperatures for this weekend. I wonder if we will have a trend of cold fronts on weekends. Yesterday- I didn't really step outside to look at this, but I wish I did. My pic from October 25th/26th

Small bow echo at Rockford, IL

My area got about 2.5" of snow.

NWS-NDFD snowfall totals (60 hrs)

A deep low pressure area in Wyoming and Montana on Saturday and Sunday will bring in some snow and even some rain for western areas of Colorado on those days. There will be perhaps a bit more snow for for Monday and Tuesday for mountain areas. It appears that most of eastern Colorado will get some warm temperatures on Saturday with possible strong southerly winds, with temperatures dropping on Sunday. A wind advisory seems possible for Saturday. Models have 1" of QPF for the western half of Colorado, with 2"+ for the southwest San Juan range.