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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. To help set the stage...the Winter Wind Etude by Chopin!
  2. I've always thought of this in two parts: WAA snowfall more certain, coastal a wild card. The only big bust scenario is to get nothing from either...and hopefully that is less likely.
  3. I guess he meant WHY? Lol I would like to know as well
  4. Oooof!!! That is maddening...one tiny feature with huge impacts either way! One aspect of tracking snow that will drive ya to drink if you're a drinker (thankfully I'm not, lol). Little tiny thing is like rolling the dice...the chaos element of this hobby that can't be seen until closer in. I certainly hope it can break in our favor this time!
  5. So I'm wondering how long it'll be before we know what happens with that feature? Maybe not till gametime? Lol
  6. Did this thing seriously just give the I-95 corridor 20 inches? Lol Probably the wackiest model run we've seen to date!
  7. Don't know about anybody else, but...I ain't eatin' that cake until the Euro comes out and it looks better, lol
  8. Don't drink yet...still got the Euro to get through, lol
  9. I'd imagine the current meltdown may have been caused more by the 0z Euro...
  10. Yeah seriously...this is ridiculous. 12z tomorrow might be big...Can you imagine? If the euro were to tick the wrong way tomorrow...I'd imagine that throws the entire forecast off, right? And what would happen with the transfer? Unless it's the nightmare scenario of it not happening at all and the primary (or whichever it is) escaping. Let's hope we see a better trend tomorrow, because I'm telling ya...we're so close!
  11. Good sir I hope your hunch is correct! Euro has some of us worried about a southern miss/fringe, lol But do you see that as correcting itself as we get closer?
  12. Man if we end up smoking cirrus from this...smh I mean how does the confluence get stronger and stronger and stronger? When will it stop? When the WAA snowfall is all the way down in dang NC, and we're stuck with flurries? Smh I hope we have better corrections tomorrow.
  13. Man I hope the Euro shifts right. It being right about yesterday when the rest of guidance wasn't has me nervous, dude...especially with the suppressive theme of the whole month. But hopefully tomorrow brings a better shift...
  14. I guess I'm nervous because the euro was the only one that got yesterday's suppressed storm track right. Wondering if we start seeing the other models get more and more suppressed...maybe that's my fears talking, lol
  15. But seriously though...how far south is this gonna go?? I mean one or two more ticks south and I'm even fringed, smh
  16. I'll be satisfied with no missed transfer from suppression...that's all I wanna see tonight, lol
  17. Except it expanded even to Baltimore, lol Good gloppity!!
  18. I'd think a more southern outcome should make us all sweat a little bit...since psu dropped that bit about an outside chance it gets too far south and misses the transfer. @psuhoffman correct me if I interpreted that wrong.
  19. So now hang on...we gonna have a model camp we're concerned about a late transfer on one end, and suppression/missed transfer on the other? Lol Fun times
  20. So sorry to hear about that...prayers for his friend's family
  21. So what's the point south where if it gets pushed there it misses the transfer?
  22. But that would result in half the forum failing to hit the warning mark (5") that to me would be a huge bust...because all this time the coastal has been a bit trickier of a question, but the front end seemed more sure. But to be in danger of not gettimg that AND missing the coastal? Brtual...hope it's just a blip.
  23. Making me nervous for 0z dude...It would be a fail of spectacular proportions (but one you warned was the main fail scenario: suppression). That's how some would get blanked, and others wouldn't get warning criteria. I hope it doesn't trend south again tonight.
  24. I'm at the point where I'm all in on the WAA part...but the coastal part? Still a tad cautious just because (probably because it's a Miller B, and how tricky those can be, and how we've been burned in the past) So that part of the storm I need another 24-36 hours of great runs before I'm comfortable, lol
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