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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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A name model run last night depicted a thin rain/snow stripe for this squall...and that's exactly what happened, lol Got bursts of flizzard mixed with drizzle!
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Maestrobjwa replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Models have been lovin' Central MD this time -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Maestrobjwa replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well I mean...seeing as we were almost at flurries, the place to go was up, lol -
@psuhoffman Thanks for the tpv explanation in the main thread. Now...to discuss what we can't in there: What is causing the jet to situate north? Warmer water, or? (Trying to visualize that as well)
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Maestrobjwa replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
These model runs have managed to put a little jack bubble over my house since yesterday, lol Hey I'll take it! -
And it doesn't dig enough because the pac jet is situated further north, and that's because of...that? Lol (Had you demonstrated what that looks like visually in a previous post?) I mean if it's warming it's warming...I was just trying to visualize what it looks like. And mercy...that means that even in a niño...that takes away another way we can win, smh Basically if we don't get a strong enough SS, there aren't many other paths to victory. Again, mercy...
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
So that's an example of just a bad luck thing, right? You'd think we'd be solidly on the board right now if it wasn't there! (Of course we could get on the board if Tues-Wed can squeeze out an inch...but you know what I mean) -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
That tpv is getting on my nerves...makes it feel like when waves are flying around in ninas, smh Hope it's in a better spot after the brief relax. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ah I see it...I was looking down the list of your posts to find it but somehow I still missed it, lol My apologies (shouldn't have asked ya to repeat it after you spent the time making it) -
Whenever I bring up the fact that that less snow may be a reality we may have to learn to deal with...I get weenied and folks complain about being negative. Look y'all...this is what's been happening. And we just have to find healthier ways to deal with it. If this is what's happening...then it's happening. I said last year that we may get to a point (not now but maybe years from now) where this forum may become the SE forum if this trend continues (folks sent the icon for that one too, lol). But I mean...if we become like them, folks may lose interest after awhile..I know I probably would! How we have been is...at least it works out sometimes. But IF the "sometimes" get less, then I'm not sure what the point in tracking would be. But maybe that's just me.
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I hesitate to ask...but could you give a quick summary? (I may have missed your discussion before) Just asked about whether this had to do with the tpv, lol -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Why do these waves look such a mess? Is it still being under that tpv? -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Next Friday not working out would hurt a lot more than Tuesday. Because after that we have a bit of a relax (may not last long though)...but that would mean we got nothing out of the first favorable period we've had, smh I mean I GUESS it's okay that at least there's a storm on all guidance right now. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Maestrobjwa replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well technically thr Euro never got worse than 0z Thursday. Told ya a model run of zilch can't show negative zilch...technically it got better -
I see. Unless I missed something, I don't believe that has been discussed much here...hence why I didn't know. I mean, I heard jet "extension" and "retraction" but not that something out there was being affected by the elephant.
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I didn't know that...and I'm not sure you ever made an explanation about the NS and the jet. I thought the book was more about the perfect track rainstorms, and things being too warm temperature-wise. I don't know enough about the relationship of that jet and climate. Wasn't purposely trying to be obtuse...just didn't know about that particular connection with the NS not digging (had you talked about that specific thing before?) No need to yell at me for ignorance (this stuff can be complicated)...legit didn't know that. My bad
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Are you willing to step away--like all the way away--from this site and tracking for a day or two? I think it will help (sure helped me last year).
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Maestrobjwa replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Given all the crickets I get whenever I try to bring up anything about how we manage our emotions...I have doubts about how many here want to talk about their feelings, lol But seriously though...we've got to do better than this. I'm working on some techniques myself (a site blocking app being one of them!)- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Maestrobjwa replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Jack bubble right over my house in NE Balt...I'd take that as a consolation prize for this light "event" for the pure comedy, lol- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Panic Room, brother...that's why it's there -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Maestrobjwa replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still a storm there on the gfs and cmc...gfs actually looked more SS to my novice eyes despite this run just missing south. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Maestrobjwa replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
You really gonna toss Feb in a Niño? Lol- 425 replies
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Not sure there's any fixing to the problems. Mods don't have time to always clean up the posts when it's not storm mode...people have to police themselves. But unfortunately, snow is an emotional topic here, and hence even among the great analysis you also get...emotions. I do wish we could help each other find healthier ways to deal with it, but hey...probably too idealistic, lol I for one am working on new ways to deal. Takes some time but it's doable!
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Maestrobjwa replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think when it gets like this it's easy to hallucinate phantom movements in the pixels in hopes of something better, lol- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Maestrobjwa replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well this one certainly won't be going in the logbook...this was just NS multiple wave chaos that ruined this one. This was just a bit unlucky...on the next (while also enjoying whatever scenery snow this gives us if any)- 425 replies
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