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DocATL

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  1. DocATL
    I mean we hope for this. Siberia is unusual mild at the moment. Judah Cohen thinks the core of the cold in January goes to Western Europe. We stay mild which isn’t a dealbreaker but who knows.
  2. DocATL
    Punt to later in January. Not winter entirely. It’s gonna take a while to find cold from here: .
  3. DocATL
    Interestingly last year our only real stretch of winter and snow didn’t come till the first half of January. We may have to punt that. Sad.
  4. DocATL
    GFS backing off on snow chances for this week and next weekend as you might have guessed. I mean we were never looking at a substantial event so a nonevent was much more likely. The silver lining is the considerable warm up to close out the month. Mid to upper 50’s is going to feel good. The next step would be a break in the clouds and some sunshine.[emoji1696]
  5. DocATL
    I think JB messed with their graphic.
  6. DocATL
    If we can’t get snow, at least we can get… https://x.com/raleighwx/status/1867934137841274923?s=46
  7. DocATL
    https://x.com/webberweather/status/1867696309160849438?s=46 Possible window for synoptic snows for the rest of us?
  8. DocATL
    If there is sun involved, sign me up! It’ll be a good respite from this purgatory before we have to endure another bout of NW flow. Although JC tweeting about a strengthening PV at the end of December so who knows what awaits in the new year!
  9. DocATL
    Wow…the noon runs were bleak. On to 18z!
  10. DocATL
    I actually like them and they know their stuff. They’ve definitely pulled the rug on some forecasts in the 11th hour and then later claimed they nailed it. But I’d probably do the same if I ran a forecasting company [emoji2375]. They have been downplaying a torch but also noting we would not be in a favorable pattern mid and late December until close to the new year. Seems like they might be right.
  11. DocATL
    Yeah…I’d approach that with a healthy amount of skepticism. The ensembles are definitely not supporting this.
  12. DocATL
    There’s been clipper activity to the north and the south. I know that’s a roll of the dice though. The 19th-22nd look like quick hitters. Cold chasing moisture. A strong quick cold press with suppression and then everything goes quiet. Weird. GEFS ensemble means are paltry and favor LES. All in all December may shake out to BN over all. Many of us outside the snow belt would have preferred a torch. .
  13. DocATL
    Exactly…seems like a tough cycle to break. Weird to think about all the variables that need to come together just to get it to snow in a place like Chicago. I would have never imagined that.
  14. DocATL
    It’ll be different in 6 hours but the GFS is trolling Chicago hard. SMH. Eastern seaboard gets annihilated including the southeast and we get goose egged. LOL.
  15. DocATL
    It’s almost not worth mentioning. Yes the sun will set today. Happy for you nonetheless! .
  16. DocATL
    I may be in the minority here but that’s the pattern I want. A little pacific energy, a bit more western flow, cold not frigid, nickel and dime events that are enjoyable yet manageable.
  17. DocATL
    18z Euro has us in the 50’s with late spring-like storms on the 16th. Can’t make this stuff up.
  18. DocATL
    Impressive 48 hour shift from brutal cold to rainy and mild. Just got to get through tomorrow and we should be at least back to normal temps. I dunno…December has felt like winter temperature wise for sure. .
  19. DocATL
    Or it says…great initial position before the northwest trend. .
  20. DocATL
    I ignore ensemble snow means unless I see pink and purple. Everything else is noise that won’t verify.
  21. DocATL
    The single digit lows on Thursday will be brutal. December will be a mixed bag. So it depends on the definition of prime winter. If we’re talking snow, it’s been a decade of decline. Maybe things change.
  22. DocATL
    I wouldn’t be so sure about that. I think the distribution will certainly be narrow. The mountain West, far north states, and the northeast away from the coast will probably rack up some snow. Great Lakes folks outside of the snowbelt will have to wait until January. We will however get a few rounds of liquid snow so at least we have that.
  23. DocATL
  24. DocATL
    Absolutely! With sunshine! Like the many Georgia Christmases I enjoyed before moving to Naperville .
  25. DocATL
    Problem is the trough position with every cold press is lousy and poorly timed. .
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