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DocATL

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Everything posted by DocATL

  1. The NAM crushing the I-95 corridor is a gut punch. But nobody threads the needle more than they do.
  2. I mean I think the new normal for the Midwest is that outside the far northern tier and LES areas, accumulating snowfall beyond an inch or two is becoming a bit more rare. As someone who moved from the south and used to the disappointment of missing out on winter weather, this is just par for the course - though it’s a bummer. For many folks who’ve spent a lifetime here, it obviously must be frustrating.
  3. Thread the needle threats are a welcome change compared to the tundra we just endured. .
  4. Always learn something from Eric. Good info about the incoming blowtorch. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1869018465316593852?s=46 .
  5. The Illinois Wisconsin border has become quite a snowshield lol .
  6. lol it’s wild. I’m praying for an inch like I did in the southeast. At least it gets cold enough to snow. As I say that the GEFS has Chicago above freezing for nearly 10 straight days!
  7. I mean we hope for this. Siberia is unusual mild at the moment. Judah Cohen thinks the core of the cold in January goes to Western Europe. We stay mild which isn’t a dealbreaker but who knows.
  8. Punt to later in January. Not winter entirely. It’s gonna take a while to find cold from here: .
  9. Interestingly last year our only real stretch of winter and snow didn’t come till the first half of January. We may have to punt that. Sad.
  10. GFS backing off on snow chances for this week and next weekend as you might have guessed. I mean we were never looking at a substantial event so a nonevent was much more likely. The silver lining is the considerable warm up to close out the month. Mid to upper 50’s is going to feel good. The next step would be a break in the clouds and some sunshine.[emoji1696]
  11. If we can’t get snow, at least we can get… https://x.com/raleighwx/status/1867934137841274923?s=46
  12. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1867696309160849438?s=46 Possible window for synoptic snows for the rest of us?
  13. If there is sun involved, sign me up! It’ll be a good respite from this purgatory before we have to endure another bout of NW flow. Although JC tweeting about a strengthening PV at the end of December so who knows what awaits in the new year!
  14. I actually like them and they know their stuff. They’ve definitely pulled the rug on some forecasts in the 11th hour and then later claimed they nailed it. But I’d probably do the same if I ran a forecasting company [emoji2375]. They have been downplaying a torch but also noting we would not be in a favorable pattern mid and late December until close to the new year. Seems like they might be right.
  15. Yeah…I’d approach that with a healthy amount of skepticism. The ensembles are definitely not supporting this.
  16. There’s been clipper activity to the north and the south. I know that’s a roll of the dice though. The 19th-22nd look like quick hitters. Cold chasing moisture. A strong quick cold press with suppression and then everything goes quiet. Weird. GEFS ensemble means are paltry and favor LES. All in all December may shake out to BN over all. Many of us outside the snow belt would have preferred a torch. .
  17. Exactly…seems like a tough cycle to break. Weird to think about all the variables that need to come together just to get it to snow in a place like Chicago. I would have never imagined that.
  18. It’ll be different in 6 hours but the GFS is trolling Chicago hard. SMH. Eastern seaboard gets annihilated including the southeast and we get goose egged. LOL.
  19. It’s almost not worth mentioning. Yes the sun will set today. Happy for you nonetheless! .
  20. I may be in the minority here but that’s the pattern I want. A little pacific energy, a bit more western flow, cold not frigid, nickel and dime events that are enjoyable yet manageable.
  21. 18z Euro has us in the 50’s with late spring-like storms on the 16th. Can’t make this stuff up.
  22. Impressive 48 hour shift from brutal cold to rainy and mild. Just got to get through tomorrow and we should be at least back to normal temps. I dunno…December has felt like winter temperature wise for sure. .
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