WVclimo
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Everything posted by WVclimo
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44/33 with light rain, after a high of 51. Have only lost 2 degrees the past two hours even with a gusty west wind.
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GFS is the only model of the 00Z suite so far to show accumulating snow for my yard, and even that is a fringe job. All the rest have anything greater than fractions of an inch to my S/SE, with that canonical precip minima from Cumberland east to here. Fortunately almost every storm where snow moves in from the SW looks that way on models, but rarely ends up verifying that way. Hoping for at least an inch to cover the grass.
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LWX's early forecast
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I think the campus is at about 600’ asl.
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18 degrees, the coldest morning of the season so far.
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Coldest temp of the season so far was 19 on Nov 13 and 14. May challenge that tonight. Down to 26 with clear skies, calm wind and a still rising barometer. Forecast is 21 which is lower than this morning’s 23. I think I go lower than that here if clouds stay away.
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HRRR bullseyes my yard around midnight. Really pulling for this to be right.
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Some very light snow/snizzle falling here now at 39 degrees.
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Martinsburg finished November 3.3 degrees below normal with 0.66" of precip. There have only been 5 Novembers since 1926 with less precip than that. Very wide range in snowfall for the winters that followed. But only 1976 from this list was BN in temperature. 1981 0.63" (46.1") 1931 0.62" (1.4") 1960 0.41" (83.4") 1976 0.37" (20.4") 1998 0.31" (34.7")
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The blizzard warning in the Black Hills of SD calls for up to two feet of snow with wind gusts to 65 mph winds. That should yield snow drifts of 6 to 10 feet in spots. Pretty nice for November.
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Last 3 hourly wind obs at MRB: 18:53 W35 G45 19:53 W22 G51 20:53 W38 G49 Cumberland gusted to 62 at the top of the hour.
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12Z Euro starts the weekend event as some snow in my yard, transitioning to a prolonged period of 31-32 degree FZRA, A few degrees colder than progged could make a much bigger impact.
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Parts of the northern Rockies are already at 2/3rds to 3/4ths of their average annual snowfall. This is from TFX:
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Still running -6 for the month through 3 weeks. A lot different than recent Novembers here: November days with a high temperature of 60+ 2014- 9 2015- 17 2016- 16 2017- 9 2018- 4 2019- 2 (so far)
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0.17" of precip so far through 17 days of November at Martinsburg. Ten of the past twelve Novembers have had below-normal precip there.
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MRB tied their low temperature record this morning from 1950. The first "storm of the century" happened less than two weeks later that year. Also, MRB missed by one degree from tying the low max record for today, 35 set in 1935.
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36/19 here today. Down to 23 already this evening.
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2nd decent snow shower of the afternoon here. This one whitened the mulch, trash can lids and car tops until the wind took care of that. 31°
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That early March storm, the Ash Wednesday storm, was one of the most destructive nor'easters in history. Dropped 18"+ in this area. Had the stall off of our coast that we always root for, which was incredibly destructive to the towns on the coast. I'd like to see a storm with that kind of power, but ideally in Jan or Feb.
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20° in my yard this morning. 21at MRB. The record low there for today’s date is 19 set in 1967.
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Pittsburgh with a west wind 33 G49 at the 9:00 p.m. ob. Down to 42 degrees there. Looking forward to that arriving here over the next few hours.
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7.4” here that stayed on the ground for 3 days. 2018 was such a strange year with heavy snow on 3/21 and 11/15. Hopefully this year we can get snow in the winter.
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1.13” here. Warm sunshine now at 68° No wind yet.
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Did some tent camping over the weekend in Caledonia State Park, between Chambersburg and Gettysburg, PA. At ~1,700 elev. foliage was peaking.
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31.4 for the low. First freeze of the year.
