WVclimo
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Everything posted by WVclimo
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I've thought all along this could be an 8-12" storm for us. 12-18" seems high in spite of the models consistently printing out those big totals. Nearly everything would have to go right to get there IMO. I expect to see sleet for a while with the heaviest precip tomorrow evening, but hopefully not for a long duration.
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No question. 12"+
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Cheese curds ? Beer brats. Wisconsin whiskey margaritas ?
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24/14. Clear and calm. Baro has crested ~30.30”
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Nearly every model run for 5 days, since Friday morning, has shown 10-20" from OKV-HGR. If this verifies 3-7" with some sleet it will sting a little, lol.
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3k NAM says 1.50" liquid here a few miles SW of Hagerstown and (just barely) all snow.
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Good lord, I had no idea Bob Turk was still working. I watched that guy when I was a kid and we only had 5-6 TV channels.
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Inside runner as the (weak) high pressure in the NE slid off a few hours too soon. Very similar track but a deeper low, and February.
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My first and final accumulation forecast for Wednesday:
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3k NAM has 2.34" of liquid here. All snow. And still snowing at h60. So, I for one do not characterize this run as a disaster.
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I think most of the folks in this subforum have a decent chance to exceed their snow total from the 2019-20 winter on Wednesday. Not much to be upset about with that.
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All snow now. 35 degrees.
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Changeover is happening. Gloppy flakes mixing in with the rain. 0.30” so far.
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Latest forecast from NWS:
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Was 31 at midnight. Now 35 with moderate rain.
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Was 58/44 around noon and then the temp slowly fell the rest of the day. 50 by sunset. Now 35/25 with clear skies and a light north wind.
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I was looking at that earlier today, reviewing my Cocorahs reports. Roughly every two weeks we have had a wet event: 9/30- 1.44” 10/12- 1.28” 10/29- 1.49” 11/12- 1.32” 11/30- 1.15”
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I measured 18.8” in Dec ‘09 here (which would make it the largest Dec snowfall on record for this area.) That storm, iirc, was moving slower than this one should, and had a moisture connection from the deep tropics. And may have been moving into a colder air mass if I’m not mistaken. Keeping expectations in check for Wednesday.
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I think every model run I have seen for the last 3 days has shown 10-20”+ in my yard. I keep waiting for the rug to get pulled but it’s been locked in since Friday morning.
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1-3” DC south and east. 3-6” in the NW suburbs. 6-12” out past Dulles and points far north and west ?
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LWX also has a forecast up for the beginning of the storm
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Almost 3' on the NAM at MRB.
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Can anyone with access please post QPF ?
