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WVclimo

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Everything posted by WVclimo

  1. I sent him a private message on here a couple of weeks ago, hoping that maybe it forwarded to an email or something. Haven’t heard back.
  2. DC with greater than a 50% chance of 8”+
  3. Visibility below 1/2 mile in pouring snow. Winds gusting to 28 mph. Temp down to 31°.
  4. Some light snow is finally reaching the ground. 34°.
  5. I dunno, man. The last couple runs of the Euro have given my yard 3”. I’m hoping to see the 12Z come more into line with the rest of the suite this morning.
  6. Did you catch the UKMET dropping 10” on Bob Chill’s hill ?
  7. Wow ! Much higher than I would have guessed. And look at the years in that list ! They haven’t broken a foot in 60+ years !!
  8. That might be a top 15 accumulation all-time for Kansas City.
  9. Don’t know that I’ve ever seen a continuous ribbon of vorticity from Hudson Bay to Puerto Vallarta lol
  10. Our kids aren’t scheduled to return to school from break until Monday. That’s not looking good at this point.
  11. ICON was looking pretty sweet with that west to east track along the TN-KY border through H90. Then it suddenly jumped the primary to Elkins by H96.
  12. A few flurries blowing around here. 32°.
  13. 49/50 give my yard at least 2+”. Don’t know if I’ve ever seen that high a percentage on an ensemble at these leads.
  14. MRB finished December -0.4 with above normal precip.
  15. ^ This 100%. 4” in Hagerstown and 8” in Martinsburg is a great storm at the front end of a cold wave. I would sign for this in a heartbeat. The previous runs of the ECMWF showed so much more QPF than all the other models. I expected a correction.
  16. After all the advancement in numerical simulations of the atmosphere, AI comes along and uses the same forecasting method as Weather53. Except his database goes back farther.
  17. MRB was -2.7 through the first 27 days of the month. Then a +14, a +22 and a +14 knocked that back to -0.7. The month looks to finish just BN at -0.2 or -0.3
  18. Snow reaches our area 18 hours later on the 06Z GFS (and the 00Z CMC) than the snowier EC/ UKMET runs. I guess we’re rooting for the quicker solution ?
  19. 12Z Euro had snow moving in Sunday evening. The 00Z suite so far has this as a Monday afternoon “event.”
  20. We usually get at least some snow showers/squalls with the arrival of a true cA air mass. GFS sorts of hints at it with the snows along the boundary as it drops through the Midwest, but the model doesn’t think the moisture survives the mountains. I would think you’re correct that if heights crash that much, something would generate on the lee side of the Appalachians.
  21. Sure would be nice to have some snow cover to see what kind of temps this could produce.
  22. 127 yards rushing for Daniels
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