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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. I know we don't really use the hdrps but its been showing this solution with a really drastic drop-off
  2. The ukie is decent mostly 3 to 5. The heavy initial band kinda goes north of the area so amounts are lower for that reason than mixing
  3. Its one of those storms where parts of Monmouth and li will do better than western nj where they'll mix sooner
  4. That's why it's a watch. You put them out 48 hours in advance when 6+ looks likely. Which it did. There's no reason it can't be adjusted to an advisory.
  5. As expected the dividing line has edged from Philly to Trenton to now near somerville. That sleet line will almost always make it to 78. It will come down to front end thump and if we can manage 4 to 5 before the pinging. Even 3 gets me to double digits for the winter so I'd be happy
  6. Probably 4 this afternoon they'll change to warnings and advisories
  7. Gfs north but still heavy snow for most at the start
  8. We have time for it to reverse otherwise its congrats Saratoga
  9. Reminds me of a dec 2013 storm when it was like 60 and raining in AC and in the teens up in nw nj. We had like 4 to 5" with temps in the low 20s but it still went over to sleet
  10. Yeah we're running out of wiggle room with 48 hours yet to go
  11. It never fails.We get somewhat of a model consensus, watches go up, and then one model craps the bed
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