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cheese007

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Everything posted by cheese007

  1. cheese007
    Big 15% all modes severe area covering most of AL/AR/LA/MS/TN along with portions of KY/MO/IL/IN
  2. cheese007
    10% hatched Tor probs
  3. cheese007
    DFW fortunately sems out of the woods for the most part with the latest update!
  4. cheese007
    SPC out with an 80% chance of watch issuance in the next couple of hours for DFW into portions of northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, and southwest Arkansas https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0135.html
  5. cheese007
    D1 slight from northeast TX to far southwest KY
  6. cheese007
    Some folks were getting ping pong ball sized in McKinney per social media
  7. cheese007
    Real good thunder and lightening under the special weather statement! Wonder if it goes severe soon?
  8. cheese007
    Some at least marginal severe days for NTX coming up, including tonight
  9. cheese007
    5 inches for DFW. When averaged with the marginal amounts since 15-16 we actually end up at roughly our expected yearly average (about an inch per year)
  10. cheese007
    Looking like a good call so far. Any recent melting covered with some steady but very light snow by the airport. Probably end up with a 1/2inch when all is said and done unless things pick up soon
  11. cheese007
    Wind had problems but it wasn't *the* problem. That honor would go to natural gas: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.texastribune.org/2021/02/16/natural-gas-power-storm/amp/
  12. cheese007
    Much more like the winter storms of yore lol. FWD still forecasting a 100% chance of snow fwiw
  13. cheese007
    Anyone know why the forecast pages, hourly forecasts, and snowfall map on FWD's main page all diverge in their snowfall projections? And 2nding the power companies and state leguslature being held responsible. I know two folks without electricity *and* running water since no heat = burst pipes in this weather. There is no reason for folks having to poop in a bucket all to line the pockets of politicians and CEOs
  14. cheese007
    I may have been a bit too pessimistic regarding snow totals lol
  15. cheese007
    I'm confident I'll be right. You'll see
  16. cheese007
    FWD has a band of lower snow totals cutting through, you guessed it, DFW. Dry slot imminent at this rate
  17. cheese007
    Would not be shocked if that's the satellite image tomorrow
  18. cheese007
    FWD dropped snow chances from 100% to 80% in their daily forecast for DFW
  19. cheese007
    Dry slotting looks to be most likely failure mode for DFW. Could present either as virga or a complete abscence of moisture. Either way...
  20. cheese007
    Good chance FWD has egg on its face come Monday afternoon
  21. cheese007
    A literal hole would be perfectly on brand and is probably what happens in the end. 100% of setups have busted in the past six years. If every setup up to this point has done so, why would the latest one pan out?
  22. cheese007
    Can tell you right now: it won't. Seriously when are y'all gonna get that it does not, for some bizzare reason, snow here anymore?
  23. cheese007
    Oh yeah I know DFW is the odd man out. I just want to understand why. It's disheartening when you enjoy snow as much as I do and practically know nothing will accumulate no matter what FWD thinks
  24. cheese007
    If you bet on the drier and/or warmer solution every setup since March 2015 you'd be a millionaire by now. I don't know what quirk of climatology causes consistent frozen precip busts but it doesn't seem to be captured adequately by any weather models. Especially outside 4-5 days
  25. cheese007
    Like clockwork. Every time
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