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PackGrad05

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  1. PackGrad05
    It is interesting (and good for people inland) that more models are showing a stall off-shore or coastal region. This would lessen wind impacts well inland if it occurred. It is a trend to keep watching. I do believe NHC will adjust the track again with the 11AM update. Less and less of the models are showing a track inland over central NC. Meanwhile, storm appears better organized than it did last night... getting back together for more strengthening perhaps.
  2. PackGrad05
    Movement appears to have a NW vector to it. In addition, some of the latest tropical models are more NE of the official track. Possible influence of the disturbance that flared up near the gulf earlier. That could help push it more N.
  3. PackGrad05
    Too warm I think. Mostly rain or snow that melts on contact.
  4. PackGrad05
    Look at that gradient across Wake, as usual. I like RAH's discussion. I think it'll be a mix/rain event with snow on the back end. Little to no accumulations.
  5. PackGrad05
    The map shows march 29 because that is the total snow from now until March 29. However, all of that falls Saturday night/Sunday morning.
  6. PackGrad05
    WWA issued for durham, orange, and other counties. Not Wake.
  7. PackGrad05
    Latest runs of the HRRR look better than earlier today... but still doesn't look all that promising.
  8. PackGrad05
    Yeah I saw that too. But the HRRR looks really anemic for wake.
  9. PackGrad05
    the 18Z 3K NAM shows a good bit for Wake... HRRR doesn't seem to match up though
  10. PackGrad05
    yeah the NAM and RGEM do show some snow showers possible... little to no accumulation.. Wonder if it will be enough for schools to call a delay?
  11. PackGrad05
    Latest NWS graphic puts all of wake in the 0" amount. Oh well.
  12. PackGrad05
    Definitely more in that area. multiple inches it looks like if taken literally
  13. PackGrad05
    3K nam still shows a little bit of snow over central NC around rush hour.
  14. PackGrad05
    Would probably be enough for school delays.
  15. PackGrad05
    The NAM and GFS both came south every so slightly with the system overnight... Looks very similar to last time for Wake, except the a little less snowfall.
  16. PackGrad05
    Wednesday morning mix/snow burst I hear.
  17. PackGrad05
    Anyone have the new euro?
  18. PackGrad05
    The 12Z NAM, both 12KM and 3KM varieties, show a little snow for central NC in the morning hours on Wednesday. Could mess up the morning commute a little bit.
  19. PackGrad05
    Overnight runs don't look great. Maybe some rain/snow mix or flurries. That's about it for central NC. About all we can hope for now is the model runs today to bring this more south, a bit.
  20. PackGrad05
    The silence is deafening. 18z models aren’t bringing the goods either.
  21. PackGrad05
    Nevermind, I figured it out. The 12Z GFS and NAM are not enthused for central NC.
  22. PackGrad05
    How are y’all seeing the NAM so far out? I can’t see past Tuesday. Also it is concerning that NAM shifted north. It has been on the money with every other system it seems like. GFS is also pathetic. At least 6z
  23. PackGrad05
    the 18Z GFS backed off a little. But this is still so far out. Long way to go on possibilities.
  24. PackGrad05
    Still looks tough for the triangle IMO. Could see some fat wet flakes and things get a little slushy, but that's it.
  25. PackGrad05
    Surprised this isn't getting more talk. I just saw on twitter that the latest GEFS members almost all had snow for RDU with 13/20 more than 2"
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