Congrats points east as it looks like my rates are stepping down.
Radar hallucinations are giving me hope the CCB has one final push west until some decent dbz.
Bands are forming now and slowly rotating in. I’m pushing 2.75” here with heavier rates over the past 1 hour.
The premature bust calls never fail; enjoy the storm as it forms.
I haven’t forgot to respond; just tied up the past 24 hrs. I hope you are ready to enjoy this.
I’m keying in on that out max weenie band that’s been modeled over the highlands area. If we can get under that for a period, we will tickle high numbers.
I think this storm will have a few surprises; some of the 700 fronto maps have been epic.
For us northwest folk, that weenie band has been showing up on multiple runs. That should be the secondary max location; I’m thinking Cherry Ridge/Highland Lakes.
This is truly generational shit. I’m pumped. ‘96 is still the king to me, but let’s see how she compares.
Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley.
For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it.
Euro moving every so slightly west was telegraphed on last nights ensemble. Tip was of the opinion, as of yesterday afternoon, that it’s not done trending west; to be determined.
I’m not overly concerned about the qpf projections up here in northwest NJ; the 700 fronto that’s been depicted is phenomenal.
Letting the weenie flag fully fly: I can’t wait to see the developed ccb as this thing churns toward the cape.
Jan 2016 dropped 33” at my house in Chester; I’m all in on this one. Let’s friggen get it!
Edit: You never want to touch the money, but the trends on this, for all models over the past 24, I’m sold.
Could see the GFS was going for the full phase since 06z this morning.
The vibes are good in here; we deserve this. Even warlock is slowly coming on board….
There’s a lot of really amped members with a west lean; GFS going for glory with this storm.
If the 06z op showed anything it was that it opened the low out in the Atlantic; it had the 2 dueling lows for a few runs.
I feel like it’s been a while since we had a system eject from the 4 corners region out west. I vaguely remember data sampling issues with those systems.
It’s having difficulty with phasing; you can see the jump from 21z to 0z. That doesn’t make a whole lot of sense; hopefully it irons out in our favor.
I’m just glad the potential exists for now; we live to see more model runs!
As much as I’d love that to work out, driving the primary to Buffalo, typically has significant precip type problems for our area.
But, as we need any and all precip at this point, let’s land this sucker!