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ShawnEastTN

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Posts posted by ShawnEastTN

  1. Noticed radar returns were enhancing in area's. Graupel can definitely make it through that dry Column more than flakes. Maybe we'll get a surprise dusting tonight. 
    Yeah was sitting outside taking the dog out and started hearing the sound graupel pellets make hitting the leaves of the woods beside my house. Caught a couple pellets on my sleeve to verify. It's 39 so very warm but kind of didn't think it would overcome the dry air.

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  2. Also critical to our region usually is having the regions north and northwest with some good snowpack. That hasn't really happened yet but looks like over the next few weeks might finally begin to start building. I have family in the UP of Michigan and they at Christmas had zero snow on the ground which is very very rare for them. Usually by end of December the Superior snowbelt region has a couple feet of snow on the ground already. For Detroit area in lower Michigan it's the second least snowy December ever recorded and among the warmest.

    As I sit and type this it is snowing now suddenly at my house, looks like virga is trying to overcome the dry air. Not really snow but graupel.

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  3. Wound up with 1.25 here. Funny that we had more on the roads than the 8" we received back in the March storm.
    Same here only got about an inch maybe slightly more than and the roads were a disaster, still are on back roads even now. The March storm we got 6" and roads were just wet. This storm is the second time I'm my memory MRX downplayed a dying clipper and busts big time.

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  4. So far nothing at my house which is shown on the radar.
    F98CB53A-08CC-4CD2-8408-AE64EEE24113.thumb.jpeg.6b15b8df7bcbcdd5710be63ff1382de2.jpeg
    I was under that bright band for about 15 minutes before they began reaching the ground. Might have similar delay as it eventually overcomes the dry layer. Also picking up a bit now. Not quite light snow but more than just random flurries. Close to being light snow though. Very small dry flakes currently.

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  5. Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. 
     
    namconus_ref_frzn_seus_fh26-36.thumb.gif.21230a1d26d504ba91fe411be867d668.gif
    Maybe the moisture is catching up to better lift right at the valley before it fizzles out, or maybe it's hitting the mountains and there is a slight amount of backing in the flow. Backing in the flow, up against the mountains sometimes contributes to surprise totals in the valley.

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  6. Tomorrow's clipper might be fun. I remember back several years ago a similar scenario with dying clipper expected to only bring flurries. While at work in North Knox at the time I remember coming out of the door not expecting anything and finding 2" of snow. While not a lot of snow it was one of the most impressive busts because MRX had only called for just flurries but also specifically said not enough moisture to accumulate at all. Maybe we'll get lucky. Weak dying systems are very capable of creating surprises.

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  7. The closest thing I can remember was the PV anafrontal snow we had in January 2014, when it snowed a solid 1-3in across the area. That front and moisture worked for the valley, unlike this time. It was around 16 degrees or so when it started snowing that morning and dropped steadily for an hour or two. The snow was over around noon and the temp at the house was 10 by then. By 3 in the afternoon, it was around 6 degrees and around 3 when the sun set. After it was all said and done, we bottomed out at -3 at the house. Some places went lower. The thing about this current event coldwise, it seems, is that it was over a bigger area. The direction of the 2014 event if my memory is correct was centered slightly further east, so that the coldest readings were over E TN and KY and SW VA. 
    Yep that was cold for me too but not as cold as up your way. I'm on the unofficial border of the Southern and Central valley terminology that MRX uses. I can walk into the Central Valley but my house is technically in the Southern Valley. I live right near the county lines of Meigs and Roane. Definitely up the valley your direction tends to be colder than down this way. Think Chatty even which is about 75 miles south of me is mostly in the single digits today too.

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  8. I've lived in the valley of east Tennessee since 1989, I cannot recall a daytime temp peaking at 8 degrees. My weather station has been fluctuating between 6 and 8 degrees all day. The coldest day time temp I can recall since we moved here when I was 10 years old is in the low to mid teens for daytime hours. My forecast high from MRX yesterday was a high of 16, not going to hit that. I suspect tonight may go negative air temp.

    All that said my official high for the day is 45, just after midnight. Lol

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