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wxdawg10

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Everything posted by wxdawg10

  1. wxdawg10
    Don't forget the GFS was the first to sniff a potential major storm for the mid-atlantic. it's starting to sniff it out again and bringing it back. These trends are telling me EURO is about to cave again. But man theres gonna be a lot of chaotic energy floating around out there and someone is bound to cash in on the east coast
  2. wxdawg10
    who's ready for the February torch? ☺
  3. wxdawg10
    is it just me or has he been a little..unhinged..recently? he's losing it
  4. wxdawg10
    that GFS run..oh boy. not just NC but the entire east coast is destroyed lol.
  5. wxdawg10
    what about climatology? there is no warm nose to contend with for this storm. What falls will stick. wake is in spot where heavier rates are possible. get under a band and you can do 3 inches in 3 hours. If anything, i can see this busting higher. So its definitely possible.
  6. wxdawg10
    they talked about the westward push in their am briefings and that it's likely they'll be updating amounts. they already increased RDU from 1-2 to 2-3 inches. i expect warnings later today.
  7. wxdawg10
    Lol GFS is a win for pretty much the entire state of NC holy..expect snow totals to start going up
  8. wxdawg10
  9. wxdawg10
    https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1484271620600610822?t=fCxNlxZcUJDGLmrCMHxgEA&s=19
  10. wxdawg10
    Ole Gregg has been burned so many times on past storms he's become the snow grinch
  11. wxdawg10
    why is it crazy? this is not the first time or will it be the last. You know how hard it is to forecast winter weather down south. Model chaos is almost expected.
  12. wxdawg10
    Fishel flip flops as the models go
  13. wxdawg10
    i mean not really..the areas that were expected to get the most precip havn't really changed.
  14. wxdawg10
    Dude..you sing this same song everytime. Models are tools. experienced Mets who are paid for this look at science not just models. stop living and dying by models and their effectiveness.
  15. wxdawg10
  16. wxdawg10
    for areas that i noted, most models are consistent in showing moderate to significant accumulation.
  17. wxdawg10
    paste job triangle SW and NE on EURO. feels like models are all in agreement. Hopefully everyone gets at least a little snow at some point.
  18. wxdawg10
    he's a believer.
  19. wxdawg10
    tbh Huffman and Eric Webb are pretty good for RDU. Robert as well (wxsouth) can't go wrong with any of em
  20. wxdawg10
    Elizabeth Gardner was a Fishel prodigy at WRAL. Ole Gregg still lives on in her. I've been reading her forecast posts for friday and saturday for 3 days and she has tried everything to avoid saying the word snow. Mentioning model solutions that showed rain and freezing rain. Only today do they seem sorta kinda on board.
  21. wxdawg10
    The Euro is not what it used to be..alot of METS will ride and die by the Euro even when it's the outlier. Then again..living in NC we're all too familiar with the prospects of getting burned lol. So i don't really blame him for being a skeptic until more is known
  22. wxdawg10
    thanks for holding on to hope..
  23. wxdawg10
    It's just basically a GFS knockoff. these "inhouse" models are never reliable outside 24hrs.
  24. wxdawg10
    I think Central NC is still in a good spot. If anything, i see the Low trending more east than west the closer we get. I don't think the models have a good grip on the strength of the wedge yet. we shall see. i would hold off on the cliff diving and celebrations no matter where you are. Someone is gonna get crushed and someone is gonna get screwed. This is the nature of SE storms. good luck everyone
  25. wxdawg10
    Due to it's history yes the NAM has been great sniffing out the warm nose. But that doesn't mean it isn't prone to mistakes. The HRRR has a good record too in this time frame. could go either way
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