Jump to content

wxdawg10

Members
  • Posts

    186
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by wxdawg10

  1. tbh Huffman and Eric Webb are pretty good for RDU. Robert as well (wxsouth) can't go wrong with any of em
  2. Elizabeth Gardner was a Fishel prodigy at WRAL. Ole Gregg still lives on in her. I've been reading her forecast posts for friday and saturday for 3 days and she has tried everything to avoid saying the word snow. Mentioning model solutions that showed rain and freezing rain. Only today do they seem sorta kinda on board.
  3. The Euro is not what it used to be..alot of METS will ride and die by the Euro even when it's the outlier. Then again..living in NC we're all too familiar with the prospects of getting burned lol. So i don't really blame him for being a skeptic until more is known
  4. It's just basically a GFS knockoff. these "inhouse" models are never reliable outside 24hrs.
  5. I think Central NC is still in a good spot. If anything, i see the Low trending more east than west the closer we get. I don't think the models have a good grip on the strength of the wedge yet. we shall see. i would hold off on the cliff diving and celebrations no matter where you are. Someone is gonna get crushed and someone is gonna get screwed. This is the nature of SE storms. good luck everyone
  6. what are you talking about? This storm is performing like it was predicted to. 2-4 inches around the triangle, 3-6 inches points northeast. No one predicted a foot of snow anywhere in NC or VA. you can't hug models when they're spewing clown maps and choose to ignore experienced mets who predict reasonable totals. Thats on you.
  7. where do you see that? if anything, its playing out as expected and its trending towards more snow.
  8. From Robert. thinks the nam is too warm temp wise. Someone is getting 10+ inches out of this
  9. i'm not trying to get my hopes up too high as many of us know..but i will say that in the past, alot of storms trended warmer and less snowy the closer we got. this is the opposite. it's been trending snowier and storms that trend snowier the closer you get tend to verify. local mets and NWS will always be conservative until the signs are too strong to be denied. Always easier to bust with higher totals than getting cold rain when you predict 10 inches. I like Eric Webb's take on this. also WXSOUTH, one of the mets i respect the most had a great discussion on why this thing might overperform.
  10. yep sounds like he's all in. Putting all my chips in too
  11. RAH Wont bite unless every model is showing 5+ inches within 12 hours. i don't blame them we've all been burned so many times being conservative just makes sense
  12. after some sleet and a lull in precipitation snow is picking back up again.. which i didn't expect. the HRRR was on to something here
  13. just changed over to sleet/snow mix. Folks in N Wake co it's coming..
  14. east raleigh close to knightdale. it's calmed down a bit tho
  15. HRRR was showing the sleet line holding and not getting through wake until 7 or 8 this morning. You guys should have atleast another 4 hours of all snow after that so i can see it being a reality.
  16. moderate snow here in east raleigh. cars getting covered quickly. per radar there is a heavy band moving NE that should hit Wake in about an hour or so
  17. Due to it's history yes the NAM has been great sniffing out the warm nose. But that doesn't mean it isn't prone to mistakes. The HRRR has a good record too in this time frame. could go either way
  18. can anyone in the greensboro area confirm if it's snowing?
  19. Posted 11 minutes ago ...Significant Winter Storm to Impact much of Central North Carolinas tonight through Monday... .A developing winter storm will spread heavy snow and ice across central North Carolina tonight and Sunday. Some wintry precipitation may linger Sunday night into Monday prolonging the storm. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow late tonight and Sunday morning, becoming mixed snow and freezing rain Sunday afternoon. A transition to all freezing rain is possible Sunday afternoon. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. Total ice accumulations of up to a quarter inch expected. * WHERE...A corridor of the eastern Piedmont and northwest Sandhills regions of central North Carolina. This includes much of the Triangle area. * WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 7 PM EST Monday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is likely to be very difficult Sunday and Sunday night. Even in locations with lesser snow accumulations, the potential for accumulations of snow and freezing rain combined will impact travel. Downed trees and limbs may create significant power outages additional travel hazards. * Temperatures in the upper 20s to around 30 Sunday morning, rising into the lower 30s Sunday afternoon and evening. they pulled the trigger
×
×
  • Create New...