wxdawg10

I'm convinced alot of posters here enjoy purposely making themselves suffer. I suggest reading Coldrain's "what have we learned" Essay after that epic bust a few years ago. Remember it, learn it, live it. You'll be happier.

Brick..don't do this to yourself

i would trade no snow for the next 5 winters for this to verify. historic

That sign has so many possibilities..with a little imagination

tbh this is matching up with what i'm seeing on radar..can't get too excited though

Flakes falling in apex. Nice band rolling through the triangle

Is anything coming down in charlotte?

RAH is dropping the ball on this one..that's a huge difference with massive impacts. IDK what model guidance they were looking at

Looking at the radar..this thing will hit the triangle about an hour and a half earlier than most forecasters were predicting.

you're not crazy. But i've seen this movie before and i have trained myself to be skeptical. But it feels like central NC is due for some good luck. We'll be too close to the rain/snow line just to the south, which means some mixing will cut down on totals. Someone might cash in on some heavier overrunning bands

Model hugs to rile up his followers, then complains when trends go bad or the event flops.

trying to make it to and from work when it rains around here is already an adventure in itself. You don't want to be out and about when it starts coming down. Close the schools, send the kids home by 12pm.

time to put a fork in this one. There are signs of an early february torch to be excited about

My friend..this is a tale as old as time. i'll give you some advice. Always remember that storms will always trend towards a drier, warmer, or northern solution. Those are the default settings. Us folks in the south need to go 3 for 3. Always an uphill battle. Lower your expectations.

lol.

we really only have a 1 month window of prime climo to score on anything good. Outside of that, chances drop significantly. 4 weeks. Depressing when you think of it like that. Any good runs outside of a week is basically noise to me now. i too was once a bright eyed weenie who lived and died by every model run. Always temper your excitement when you live south of VA. or you will be close to tears when the inevitable february torch hits

and another one bites the dust..dum dum dum

radar looking kinda juicy for the triangle. Some narrow heavier bands popping up as well. Someone is going to pick up a quick inch maybe 2.

Full blown meltdown on twitter right now from NE mets and followers. i feel bad for them but a little glimpse of the heartbreak we go through every winter..

put a fork in it, winter is over. Start planning those walks to the park

NC has gotten burned so often by this dreaded trend..forced to watch in misery as friends up north get pasted. The meltdown threads of lost storms the past 5-10 years on this forum are nothing short legendary. and actually quite sad. There are three constants when it comes to winter weather in the southeast that you must always remember. 1. The warm nose will always overperform 2. The Northern trend is inevitable 3. The Appalachian mountains will shred anything to their west Anytime you're tracking a storm, apply these principles in relation to said storm. and always lean towards more conservative solutions. But to give everyone some hope, the Euro and other models do have a suppression bias. The trend north is just an overcorrection for that bias overtime. So NC folks should be in a good position when taking that into account.

i just hope for the sake of our brothers up north this thing doesn't take a 200 mile last minute jog east and misses almost everyone..that'll be enough pain to last a lifetime

Euro buries boston with a modest 40 inches of snow

why are you saying that like it's a certainty..no one knows exactly where these bands set up. you'll get people excited only to be disappointed. Allan Huffman touches on this in his first call map.

Dare i get excited..im holding back but there are hints..we keep going back to it..so close. Lot energy and variables with this storm models don't know how to act or where to look. the signs are there..