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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    Down to 28 here.
  2. osfan24
    Where have I seen this scenario play out before.......... This map should be the poster child for the 2020-2021 winter.
  3. osfan24
    3K is reallllyyy ugly for the area. It snows for an hour or two in most spots. Great consensus we got going on this mix line!
  4. osfan24
    It comes in hard but it flips fast. It's basically the storm we've had 2 or 3 other times this year. Hopefully, we can keep the mix line south longer, but there is a definite trend on guidance to bring it north and bring it faster.
  5. osfan24
    Despite how wet they are, SREFs have been sitting at around 3 inches of snow at BWI. Seems like a red flag on big snow hopes to me.
  6. osfan24
    Yeah it's not much snow but is a very impactful storm. Lots of ice on top of the snow and makes it a 24 hour plus storm. Para looks great and seems to have been pretty steady.
  7. osfan24
    GFS is warm. Appears to have caved to the warmer solutions. HRRR out there on an island it appears.
  8. osfan24
    Well it was out of its generally useful range at that point, but it still was never as cold as the other models. Like one of the mets on here said, sometimes it can throw up red flags with temperatures.
  9. osfan24
    It's a little better but still a bit of a trend happening. Hopefully, we can reverse it at 12z. NAM being so far north with the heaviest axis of snow still is a pretty big red flag, though.
  10. osfan24
    Oh boy, that was a really rough 6z run. Has the NAM done it again??
  11. osfan24
    I'm still waiting for my predicted blizzards from the past three storms.
  12. osfan24
    Take a blend of the GFS and Euro and lock it up.
  13. osfan24
    Nah, I think I got it.
  14. osfan24
    Imagine that, someone cares enough to post on a weather message board about snowstorms and actually wants as much as snow they can get in their own yard. The horror.
  15. osfan24
    What? How did overnight go poorly?
  16. osfan24
    Yeah, I know I've had enough 1-3/2-4 and then wintry mix/slop storms in the past five years.
  17. osfan24
    No idea. I'm sure DC had more precip than us today, but there was precip here. It just seemed like it melted in the middle of the day. Maybe the cloud deck wasn't as thick here because the precip wasn't as heavy and that allowed the mid February sun to do some work?
  18. osfan24
    No ice on the trees at all, but some sleet and freezing rain seemed to start accumulating on the driveway and sidewalk over the past couple hours. Definitely a sheet of ice now.
  19. osfan24
    Yeah I much prefer sleet to freezing rain. I've had a few periods where echoes got heavier and it turned over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain, but been mostly freezing rain. Although, it really just seems like rain. Not upset by it as I'm not a big freezing rain guy, more just perplexed how areas in Southern MD are way icier than here.
  20. osfan24
    I'm so confused. I'm way, way northwest from LaPlata and I'm currently watching what little ice I had on my car windshield melting and sliding off the car. There's literally no ice here.
  21. osfan24
    Might be about that panic room time lol. We had periods that were called the best since the blizzard of 1996 and another two periods that were the brother of snowmaggedon, plus an upcoming period that was supposed to feature 30+ inches of snow and be cold and snowy. Instead, we've gotten several slop storms to total anywhere from 10-15 inches. What a winter.
  22. osfan24
    Just went outside and none of the paved surfaces are icy at all. Just wet. And even the cars, while they have some ice on them, it's not really hard. You can take your hand and easily wipe it away. Pretty surprised. Maybe it's the mid-February sun angle doing its job?
  23. osfan24
    I'm figuring that's why I'm just getting freezing rain here instead of sleet. Super light returns overhead.
  24. osfan24
    28 and the lightest freezing drizzle. Ground is barely wet.
  25. osfan24
    Pretty sure he retired and started his own blog or weather company.
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