jbenedet

Heh, I can see that—Maybe western CT, western MA?

With ++ AO/ +NAO, I’d sell that idea south of Bangor ME. Maybe you can hedge down to Portland, but I certainly wouldn’t include much else. The cold has much more of an eastward than southward trajectory with these conditions.

There is no tuck with this...weak frontal wave, no Quebec surface HP. The surface CF will be arriving from the northwest... It’s a bonafied torch setup.

Okay didn’t realize that. But in the case of SNE, still looks quite unfavorable through the 20th —keep the shades closed but start peeking....Thinking trend is from crap pacific towards zonal flow pattern (first).

I’ll def take the other side of this over next 10 days, especially for SNE. Close the shades.

This looks just like the GEFS suite...Not sure what he’s talking about here, especially wrt the monster -PNA... I’d feel pretty good about this if we could manage even a very modest -NAO. For now this still looks bad for most...

Haven’t seen it...But Anthony Hopkins has 50 years on me....

Very poor teleconnection in Jan can work for us, bc “poor” also means less “north/south” phasing of jets, and a chunk of the sub forum ends up on the cold side of the southern Jet, due largely to climo and a progressive flow. The in-situ cold in NNE and southern QC is sufficient for future snow, while the snowcover in the region aids in reinforcing climo. This is a setup for CNE and NNE to do quite well, especially the resorts while SNE really struggles. I suspect I’ll be on/very near the margin. Thinking the next 10-14 days looks a lot like this graphic in terms of heaviest snows/ and frozen/rain gradients.

Yea. There was also another Nor Easter last year where the SLP ran over SE Mass but dumped widespread 30”+ in Upstate NY, near Binghamton area. That was due to a similar situarion as this with the mid level tracks being displaced well to the west.

Yea unless you live at the base of a mountain. Tell me about it.

Careful you’re starting to sound like a

Yea this is incredible. More than the past two seasons combined I’d say...

AWT. That’s awesome. Band has been fun up here but def not the epic rates you’re seeing in eastern MA. I think Nashua NH area got in the best of it as well.

Awesome. We salute you.

What did you just pick up in the past hr? 5”?

Yea well I guess by that if you take 5 hrs and avg 2.4/hr you’re at a foot. Not quite sure why it’s unreasonable given the context. Coastal MA has a lot of catching up to do in term of those euro qpf totals. Just sayin’ We’ll see...

There’s another band developing in behind it. Also 1-3 is kind of a wide range —no? 40 dbz is 4”+ type calibur given the context I would think...

Nice. BOS is good for snow through 11 pm and this looks like heavy snow to the end.

Call me a weenie, if you want but I think BOS will tack on close to a foot from that band. It’s tightening up and will have some epic rates associated with it... perfect timing too in terms of limiting ISR and BL impacts...