Jump to content

jbenedet

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    7,178
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. Take temps/dews way up on Thursday. No -NAO No snowpack in SNE +SST anomalies And the Canadian “cold tuck” will be with a strong and predominant relatively “warm” easterly fetch off the Atlantic given how far west this amping shortwave pumps UL heights.
  2. Too much of a good thing: the arctic oscillation. With it so deeply negative any shortwave out west is “amp” happy. Deep cold is immediately tappable and synoptic wave development accelerates. Available cold is dumped west. We get the stale cold. Rinse repeat. Also explains why the best event for SNE ytd (sans the Berks) was that late blooming “crap” wave that barely registered 1000mb SE of the BM.
  3. Sparrows hoppin’ about like it’s early November. I believe if snow is your hope, you look to the Berks and greens on the backside of this monster. But that also means the rest of us “easterners” are gonna have a prolonged torch on the front side.
  4. Look I know your upset, and butthurt, and you suck at forecasting. But please, come up with something else. This is boring.
  5. You guys do this for work and you still suck at it. immensely. Society gives you a zero-value contribution. Do better. Find something more productive to do with yourself.
  6. The ukie with dews in SE NH into the 40's by 12z tomorrow.
  7. Yea no kiddin' on northeast winds. Quebec City with a high of 37F today, 32F tomorrow, December 16. But it's a "-NAO" to the model huggers.
  8. Once the (initialization) on guidance digests the developing +NAO the marginal areas east of the CT river will be cooked. The bulk of the surface cold is to our west; not to our north, which naturally means a "backing" west occlusion. So once the UL confluence ebbs it will be "not even close" for us eastern folks. Good storm for the berks, Greens, and upstate NY though.
  9. Next! NAO flipping positive right when we need it most. The block will be fleeting and escaping east as storm makes closest approach. Looks like a cutter. I’m expecting 45-50F and rain in SE NH. Connecticut river west, gonna want to watch for sig snow chances. wave spacing awful. AN airmass in cold source region. did I say next?
  10. While weenie still looking for snowflakes; Looks like a final lawn cut this weekend.
  11. It’s really quite hilarious that +20 not continuing indefinitely represents a pattern shift. Those are odds for chimps. Get it? Your non-weather nerd friends—whoever that may be—must really hate this aspect of your personality. For all intents and purposes this above metric of being right turned out to be meaningless for everyone, including the major resorts. Breton woods looks like the most depressing place on earth right now. Well done. Taking the world down with your clown forecasts.
  12. Mowvember ends on the 25th…? Why do that if most of us threaten 60 again on the 30th? Cutting calendars for the snow weenies. I guess I’d feel desperately apologetic too, if i lead them off a forecast cliff. Especially when it was done in class @ORH_wxmanfasion—by cutting and pasting model output past 240 hrs.
  13. Lol our temp averages fall 11F from Nov 1 to November 30.
  14. Northern New England will surely cash in starting off December. All the snow weenies depressed which probably means it’s a great time to take the other side. Pacific is skunked but Sig NAO block means better than climo chances of good snows. The GL cutter midweek looks like a pattern setter. Northern New England will def cash in much better than current guidance is advertising. Troughiness out west will send shortwaves into the confluence over the northeast. Great for ski country.
  15. All this talk by snow weenies wanting the pattern to change. I thought the pattern already changed? Like 15 days ago?
  16. No. That’s not your high. Your high is at midnight. Hartford at 60 as of 9:50 p.m.
  17. Another > +10 day in Mowvember Regional highs: PSM: 58 DAW: 58 PWM: 57
  18. Wow what a beautiful day. Another +10 in the books for Mowvember.
  19. We are so cooked this weekend. Light packin’. T-shirts and sweatshirts. We 60’s.
  20. Great Lakes cutter up for Friday - Sunday. Windows open. Screens in folks.
×
×
  • Create New...