romba

3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Why tonight? Rather see that within 72 hours. 

Sure, but if it doesn’t show it before 72 hours then it’s very unlikely to show it after

21 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

FWIW Ijust saw Lee Goldberg on tv. He said theres possibility of a decent snow, but right now he's expecting just on and off snow and rain showers for Monday.

Is that SO crazy? Possibility of decent snow but likely won’t pan out at this point sounds like great advice for the masses. Us obsessives can dream about weenie snow maps

To my untrained eye the new CMC seems more strung out with less energy consolidation. NC gets some snow instead of it staying up around the NYC area.

0z

12z

GFS

Canadian

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Better than 50s and 60s lol

I remember one NYE  I ate outside in short sleeves with my dad on NYE. 

sounds miserable

4:20 pm update:

18z Euro runs around 6:50

1 minute ago, JoshSnow said:

Why don’t u post it what happens after that hour! 

Maps stopped loading on tidbits

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

 

You see our winter storm watch? 3-10"...wtf is that

a CYA forecast special 

RGEM Kuchera. Does Kuchera take sleet into account or treats it as 10:1?

8 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The dry slot magnified.

Wow jeezus you can get killed in some countries for making that hand gesture.

Mixing issues aside, the dry slot is hard to nail down but the models have been honing in on it and so far it doesn’t look great for the metro area.

2m temps on UKIE

Usually Kuchera shows much more ‘realistic’ totals for those marginal snow storms, but with this it shows more consistently. Is that due to potential ratios? Does it take wind into account?

Just now, MJO812 said:

Its the 84 hour Nam. I'm getting bashed for talking about the Nam on another forum lol

Yea let’s discuss ICON instead lol. It’s between global runs, we need SOMETHING to look at, so the NAM it is

Just now, MJO812 said:

LOCK HER UP....err I mean LOCK IT IN

12Z

Euro:

UKIE

GFS

CMC

Just now, TriPol said:

Any word on the EURO?

About to crush

Edit: already posted

Cut those totals in half and we’re still talking about a BEAST of a storm wow

0Z Ukie showed no snow for the city, LI, and immediately N and W of the city.

1 hour ago, NEG NAO said:

Good Luckas for 12/16 event I would be concerned about much accumulating snow south of I78 - unless the EURO starts trending south - still a wide range of solutions from the wound up warm 0Z EURO OP to the 0Z very cold Canadian OP............

A blend would be really nice...

GGEM OP was on board for a big event until this afternoon.