romba

The Total Positive Depth Change map, one of my favs, is always good for a comforting kick in balls

"It counts 15:1 snow as tropical sunshine"

13 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Funny how you’re spiking the football already, 24 hours out, it’s going to be funny tomorrow when you get less than an inch to total in NYC lol Watch the models back way off at 0Z tonight. The RGEM and CMC are the closest to reality IMO

You're everything you complain about weenies. You pick and choose models too, just based on lowest output.

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

All of the models look like the Euro and NAM? You are so vapid….

Is the forum glitching out? It's littered with:

RGEM has been steady showing a significant sleet storm for the metro

Just now, HVSnowLover said:

Wow people really hate this event lol. I really don't think its that bad to get sleet.  

Snow or bust for them. I'm with you, sleet is a pain to clear out and while I clearly enjoy it less than snow I definitely appreciate it more than cold rain (unless I have somewhere I need to be)

This overall looks pretty significant regarding activities impacted, but hard to get a read in here...is this a grass and cartopper event for the front end and nudge and sleet, or can I assume roads will be heavily impacted where the models show a bit of snow followed by lots of sleet?

6 minutes ago, sn0w said:

You've mentioned barely any snow at all south of 84 a few times now. NWS most recent map has me in 4-5 inches, and I am south of 84. Can you please reach out and make sure they correct their map so the public is not led astray? Thank you!

you bout to get weenie tagged pal, consider it an honor

8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Some models are showing a heavy ZR area near the city and north shore especially. RGEM would be an ice storm warning level event. 

If the sleet before the ZR sticks at all things could get real hazardous. Hopefully the ZR ends up a minimal amount

I get the stat-padder folks who want that initial snow thump to add to their totals, but for my neck of the woods it's the potentially hefty sleet amount, and whether it will accumulate or not...

20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

what is he chasing?

 

What else? A succulent, plump fire roasted weenie.

Any maps available for CMC sleet totals? Not 10:1 and not 0:1 either....

Is sleet not counted on any CMC snow totals? Looks like a nice hit of sleet that translates to nothing on the 10:1 maps on tidbits and pivotal 

Regarding next Friday, I feel a compromise between the two camps this far out tends to have worked. One group seems to be overamped while the other is too progressive/suppressed. Yes, the GFS is generally late to the party to recognize it needs to bridge the gap but at 7 days no model has been consistently spot on this season. Other seasons one model might lock in at 7 days, not this one though.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Tip ?

Roger?

George?

So many options lol, def Roger

There's one guy I'd like to nominate but I forgot his name, he comes out with crazy extreme predictions in long winded posts with tons of reasoning for why he's going to be right and actually sounds legit, until you see he takes the highest weenie output and proceeds to triple it. His posts look satirical but he's dead serious.

Is twitter loaded with weenies who can’t keep it in their pants, humping snow maps yet?

18 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

if it's heavy yes, but at least on the coast daytime events get harder and harder.  March 2018 had a few events here that were wasted by white rain until we got to late day

In the city where I was most of them ended up being a few slushy inches after hours of moderate snow that would be 6+ mid winter. I'm now slightly N and W but I've still learned not to get my hopes up for March storms no matter how much the weenies on here insist it will accumulate with pace...

Trees looks nice lol, roads and sidewalks just wet. At least it won’t impact my day here I guess…

52 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Lol

This ain't Maine, snowman's reverse-weeinism religion is going to be right more often than wrong, just how it is in our area.

Plot twist: snowman loves snowstorms more than anyone and is simply trying to always reverse jinx them into existence

This threat, much like this thread, is on life support. 

Some of us got a nice storm with the last one but a pretty lame winter imby this season, highlights of a few 4-6ers doesn't cut it for me. Ready for blooming flowers, sunshine and t-shirt hikes.

16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

anyone who takes 6z or 18z runs of the GFS seriously has no clue how low the verification scores of those runs are, I posted a whole PDF about those a week ago.

 

I guess I misunderstood it, thought the conclusion was there was less data but the forecasting impact was minimal…

9 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

One run is not a cave. SMH 

True, but def not what you want either. Saving grace is it’s the 18z run which doesn’t have as much data as 0 and 12, though someone posted some research during the last threat which shows that less doesn’t affect forecasting ability. Wonder if no data would lead to similar forecasting ability…

NAM a bit more N and W with the frozen, climo wins yet again