
Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Chris78 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
@psuhoffman will be posting pics of his kiddos building snowman from the "surprise" 6" he gets Tuesday Morning lol -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
You could see it early on. That southern Sw was much stronger this run. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Chris78 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I feel like kicking bunnies when I look at that pic. Low off south Carolina but snow west of us.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Chris78 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
You said a while back that snow is an anomaly in these parts. It's stuck with me and makes alot of sense.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Chris78 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
The euro started its southward shift on Wednesday night and by Thursday 12z run had the solution it pretty much has now. It could be wrong. Who knows but it took the other models 24 - 36 hours to catch up. Gem still trying to catch up lol. Euro isn't always right but it's superior resolution is a difference maker in set ups like these . Now let's reverse the trend at 00z tonight and get some damn snow.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Chris78 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's amazing it was Euro vs the world and EURO appears to have won. Do you think if it was Euro with a snowy solution vs the world it would still win?- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Chris78 replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gfs laughs at the idea- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's my concern lol. Tennessee valley sees snow on Monday. North East gets it next Friday/Saturday. We're in the middle. I think there was some crazy 1400 hour snow maps that kind of looked that way a couple weeks ago. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
And hopefully the mid Atlantic. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like they all agree for next Friday but can't agree for Tuesday. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I would lock that shit in right now if I could. 2 to 4 on Tuesday and 3 to 5 on Fri/Sat. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Doesn't the 6z and 18z euro only go out to 90? -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not sure I've ever seen this much of a difference between euro and gfs at day 4. But not sure I've seen models jump so much run to run within 5 days Lots of moving pieces for the models to nail down. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the TPV is further SE compared to its 18z run. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Your right. I guess 12z didn't really even have a storm. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol. That's awful -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Models are definitely having a hard time with all the moving pieces. This might be weenie talk lol but it certainly seems like confiuence always ends up further north than advertised from Day 5+ on the models. Would less confluence give us a better outcome? -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Took this from the New England thread. Certainly doesn't look like the OP. Still a bit to Far East but much better than the OP -
Euro vs the world . Wonder who wins?
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Euro vs the world. I think I know who wins. Always go with the least snowiest model
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Last night's Euro has heart break written all over it for 40 south. Late developing storm that doesn't get its act together till its at our latitude. -
Shut/Shit the binds enso
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Chris78 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
The control certainly doesn't look the gfs with the tail end if the trough. GfS much further east with it all. I would say the Control was going to have a storm in the East with that h5. Don't know if it would be a good track for us but plenty of energy left at the end. -
18z gfs. Cutter cutter suppressed suppressed suppressed suppressed again then cutter
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I agree with your assessment. Good winters find a way to snow. This winter isn't shaping up that way. It's been very tough so far. The next week is cutter city. After that we have a shot. It we miss that then we're looking at late January early February. I believe bwi is still at a trace? Things can change quickly. It just takes 1 well timed storm but so far this isn't the feel of an above average winter.