
Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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This By next weekend we're cold enough to snow per the GEFS. Idgaf about what the GfS says 11 days out lol.
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Just looping the 24 hour precip panels on the Gefs it looks like we have southern stream waves on the 18/19, again on the 21st then another on the 23/24. Maybe there's only 2 waves with timing differences but it looks like 3. That's 3 chances in about 6 days to score something. 850s and 2m temps are below average during that stretch. Just need patience for a little longer..... Eta- @brooklynwx99 and @Terpeast ninjaed me while I was typing. But hey atleast I am seeing the same thing as 2 red taggers lol.
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Close it and start another -
Nice slug of moisture to our south. Definitely shows the potential.
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Not sure which is better for us. The Euro would be colder but we risk it not coming north enough.
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Looks like maybe 12 hours or so later than GFS?
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We need enough time to shut down this one and start a new one lol
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Yep. It's a shame things didn't start to reshuffle 2 to 3 weeks earlier so we could of had all of February and the first 2 weeks of March to cash in but it is what it is. Atleast in PA big storms can happen well into March. Further south it gets alot tougher after the first week of the month.
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Weeklies were just posted in the MA thread. If you want snow chances to the end of March you'll like them.
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I like the one you posted last week that showed 40" better.
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Yes. I was a little surprised how many big hits there was. Looks like most are a Monday night into Daytime Tuesday deal. Definitely a thread the needle type deal. The air mass is trash leading in.
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Eps with alot of Snowy solutions for next week. Best run in a while in regards to a specific threat
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Any concerns with the ridge showing up in the great lakes towards the end of the GEFS run? Temps are pretty much normal by day 16th on GEFS which might be problematic as we get to the end of February
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I'm starting to grow inpatient lol but with this look we have to get something I would think at some point between Feb 15 and March 15. That's a pretty classic look for us.
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I kind of agree with you here. This is our winter to make our hay....... Although I would call it a disappointment rather than disaster lol
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I think we snow but will it be an epic period? Not sure about that.
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I want to look at maps where people actually live lol
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And honestly I'm tired of looking at H5 maps lol
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I love your optimism. I'm starting to have some reservations though around the upcoming pattern. Bob Chill in the MA thread has been very Meh on the period coming up. I put alot of stock into what he says. Basically he's said this winter has showed its hand. Some winters want to snow and other don't. It's been a real battle to get snow this winter. Temps don't seem that cold on the ensembles. Now I hope I'm wrong and we all get shallacked.
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Yea. I felt better a week ago. 2m temps aren't that cold at the end of the gefs. As we get to the end of the month we need decent - anomalies for snow. Atleast a long the M/ D.
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Look what's starting to happen in the mid west at the end of the GEFS lol.
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Huge rates lol. Snows for 30 hours.
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