H2O

Hard to go against the euro and what it shows tho. The RAPs and SREFs and HRRRRRRRRRRRRR are immaterial but weenies gonna weenie

It is being managed

Man the NAM is as stubborn as the Ukie and Euro. One meso/two globals with big differences.

For Rt 50 south that NAM run isn't too great given the temp issues and dry slot. H54 850s torch until the coastal takes over so it will be sleet and then wrap around scraps. NAM has stuck to this solution for 6 runs now with some subtle changes due to temps. Hard to discount at this time.

Weird thing to have yacht rock show up in your feed. Christopher Cross or Air Supply?

Just go buy a snowmobile and no prob

It is!!! And maybe more next week!!! But lets just enjoy this one and whatever falls falls

I think thats why he said "some" north crew. You've been practical with this storm and what modeling has shown. Been a couple north hits and south and while the big dog models have been south, you, me and randy know climo. Its easy for N MD to start piling it up just like the NW crew out near Winchester and further. Y'all can do more with less if that makes sense. I think when the storm hits the south areas(mine) have to bank on the initial WAA. And when things wait for the coastal is when y'all can still wring out some snow from the confluence. All I know is that snow is coming and I'm too jaded to think I'm in a better spot than the north crew because of past storms. If it happens then yay. If not then I'll take what i get and hope it can at least make things look nice. Will root for good snow for you all the while.

Another full week of tracking snow after this week of tracking snow? I'm in

It acts more like a Chad dude bro. Rolls up in a cyber truck with a popped collar and Snap on tools hat

Its how we roll especially for the lull. But I'd pay an extra tax to build a wall in the sky to block warm air barreling up the bay and Potomac. Or at least giant windmills that blow south

That there can help the areas south of DC that might see some mixing. But expand more and everyone can add onto the WAA thump

We need to find a way to punch the 900-800 lvl in the dick because it screws us every time

Question. I know what happens just a little bit upstairs makes all the difference with sleet vs snow, but are we looking at a little bit different creature with this storm than most? What I mean is we have a really fresh dump of cold air where other storms are eroding or it’s a race for a backdoor front to come in before precip falls. How much benefit is a cold column all the way down prior to stem the mid level warming due to the WAA ? I’m generally curious what is causing the thermals to come up as much as modeled when it will be a colder storm than most times

I know everyone focuses on the Jack stripe but overall forum wise a lot of people will get a good snow out of this. Euro ticked N as expected, GFS corrected a little south and our maple leaf friends are right there with us. Hard to argue with 3 models agreeing and the JVs close too

Its not like i watch the threads like a hawk. I'm old. Need naps.

A little bird asked if it should be storm mode by 12z tomorrow. Given the fighting over PA vs RIC and who is mid ATL and my south shift beats up your north shift and all that I'm good with the hammer laid down tomorrow

Small shifts like it just did are fine. None of us want it to correct to Scranton tho. Sorry PA people

Randy inadvertently caused mass panic cause he can't read maps thanks to too many margs

Would love to see if there is a correction that it makes once mesos get into their wheelhouse. I'm still betting on a north shift for the euro tomorrow. Only basing on years of watching and not anything pattern wise for this storm.

People are fucking ridiculous

It was so graupel like and it blew down the road to start like pebbles. But then it just went instant white. Amazing given the temps before and it had been sunny most of the day. Granted the roads melted fast after 20 min but that temp drop was super quick. Just almost flash freeze worthy.

It was super torchy at 12z and this cooled off some. Not sweating it when its still way out at the end of the run

almost 10 in 20 here

This was beyond impressive. From the winds to the dipping dots snow to the temp drop. And its ripping fatties even now