Fozz

I was just looking at the radar and wondering how it’s looking up your way. Monkton seems right in the thick of it

Where is the storm?

I think I’ll take the over

The guidance shows very little accumulation before 1pm (under an inch) and the vast majority of the good stuff afterwards.

Snow is getting started here but it’s basically white rain for now

There’s no better time than now to be in the bullseye. I’m ready for it to snow!

The Canadian models were a lot of our least favorites for days with their super amped solutions that brought mainly rain to most of us, but now at the 11th hour they have Baltimore points north in the bullseye. I have no idea whether to believe them but I will say there’s no better time than now to be in the bullseye.

It meets my bar but definitely looks like more of a high end advisory event.

I hope so. A lot of the guidance looks pretty good here, but some of it dryslots my area or even has temp/precip type issues where I’m right at the gradient. It’s a very common thing here, and it could go either way. @ravensrule and @nw baltimore wx know exactly what I’m talking about, and just have to see where the chips fall. Since I haven’t seen a warning level storm IMBY in a long time (I was out on 1/6 which probably had around ~5”), I’m naturally a bit cautious. My bar is 3”. That is enough to set us up for a very fun week of deep winter without getting too greedy.

You’re in a fantastic spot, you enjoy this one!

Nervous is exactly how I feel. For those of us just slightly NW, we win some and we lose some but sometimes you don’t really know where that line will be.

It’s got a nasty dryslot over Baltimore and those of us nearby. I hope this isn’t right.

That’s a huge shift, definitely worth watching. And if I’m understanding it will also be a bitterly cold storm if it reaches us?

Already?

You missed both the big ones in Feb 2010?

I wonder what happens a week later.

As much as I love the GFS, I’m a bit nervous because it’s starting to look a bit more like the GGEM, except most of I-95 is fine. But the NW trend can stop now.

Just what I was thinking, too. Let’s do this.

The map itself is fine, it’s the number ranges that are weird and confusing.

This is where we’d want it 5 days out

Getting another subzero in DCA will take an eruption much worse than Pinatubo. Or God forbid, nuclear war.

Can we just lock this up? It looks so perfect and I wish it wasn’t 2.5 days away.

Yeah I don’t like being on the southern end of the bullseye 3 days out.

So close to being a monster storm for most of us.

If a 2013-14 setup is actually in play, then that might be the best thing I’ve heard all decade. Those who were too young back then are in for a real treat.