ILSNOW

1.3

GFS north as well

Euro fake snow

84hr NAM doesn’t look bad if you extrapolate out it would be 38 and partly cloudy in Chicago at 90 hours!!!

I hope the 2:11pm winter storm watches sent out by the Chicago nws are auto generated because they r still calling for 6 plus inches and we r likely to not get 6 flakes

18zGFS remains on the north side of models with the southern Wisconsin area getting just shy of 1 foot

Izzi with a great write up

18z NAM Chicago proper due well but East Iowa and south central Wisconsin don’t. Don’t feel real comfortable that the weaker south and East trend won’t continue.

I would wait to see the 0z runs before issuing any watches and warnings

With you and hoping that the NAM (haha) will lead the way!!!!

agree 100%. However other then the NAM there has been a south and east trend with the 12z models. And after such a crappy winter where the weaker south and east trend has been the norm I think that we are all concerned that it will continue.

Since we are so concerned with the UKMET and ICON does anyone have the JMA?

And the watches begin URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL 1035 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2020 ...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY... .A slow moving winter storm system moving out of the southern plains is expected to bring snow across eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois Monday night, which will continue through Tuesday night. Precipitation will start out as rain during the day Monday which will change to snow Monday evening. Snow may be moderate to heavy at times, especially Tuesday through Tuesday night. Increasing north to northwest winds may cause blowing and drifting snow Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The storm has the potential to be one of the strongest winter storms of the season so far. While it is too soon to determine specific snowfall amounts, there is above average confidence that this system will produce heavy snowfall amounts over portions of the watch area. IAZ063>068-076>078-087-088-ILZ002-007-009-015-016-024-240045- /O.NEW.KDVN.WS.A.0003.200225T0000Z-200226T1800Z/ Iowa-Johnson-Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington- Louisa-Jefferson-Henry IA-Stephenson-Carroll-Whiteside- Rock Island-Henry IL-Mercer- Including the cities of Marengo, Iowa City, Tipton, Clinton, Muscatine, Davenport, Bettendorf, Sigourney, Washington, Wapello, Fairfield, Mount Pleasant, Freeport, Mount Carroll, Sterling, Moline, Rock Island, Geneseo, and Aledo 1035 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or higher possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Iowa and northwest Illinois.

Crazy NAM

12z cmc liking ALEK

Euro goes from a 996 low on the 0z to nothing on the 12z you have to love the models.

12z CMC

GEM with a bullseye over ALEK’s new place