ILSNOW

seems to be a consensus between 12z NAM and GFS of a general 1-3 inch refresher area wide.

This one is fading away as well

KLOT thoughts for Monday Snow is likely to be ongoing across, at least southern portions of the area at the start of the period Sunday evening. This snow will likely overspread the rest of the area for Monday into Monday evening. Given the strength of the baroclinic zone across the area, we are likely to see some enhanced isentropic upglide and bands of lower level frontogenesis develop with each approaching mid-level impulse, and this should in turn support at least some locally heavier periods of snow, especially on Monday and Monday evening. A deep dendritic growth zone in this arctic airmass is also likely to support high snow ratios (possible in excess of 20 to 1 at times), and this should in turn support some notable snow accumulations through Monday evening. With this in mind, we will have to keep an eye on the snow amounts for this period, with advisory level snow amounts (2"-5") certainly looking probable.

inch or 2 inbound for us

12 z ukie

Ukie still has it just drier and its snowmaps are at 10:1 . We should be closer to 15:1 or 20:1 i would think

15z RAP south of 9z

12z GFS on board

9z plumes just shy of 5 at ORD which includes both events.

12z NAM going to be south

0z UKIE assuming ratios north of 20:1 would not be bad (actually includes a .1 or .2 form saturday night wave)

03z RAP

thanks my bad

I am guessing the the 18z Euro was not impressive?

started here as snow

The wave train seems to be temporarily derailed we need to trend back to the 12z and 18z runs from yesterday. There are certainly going to be many opportunities over the next 5 days or so. Lets reel em in. EDIT And 12z GEM comes in with something in for the monday/tuesday time frame with a nice hit for C IL,N IN and western MI. Gives northern IL about .3 to .4 precip with ratios north of 20:1.

0z GFS wave#2 weaker but north of 20:1 ratios still bring it (snow totals for both waves)

0z GFS wave #1

snow depth via 12Z Euro that would be truly unbelievable

ratios of 15-17:1 wont hurt either.

yes but it is going to be 36 degrees here today and i am concerned.

i use pivotal and it hasnt updated the GFS para since 6z where are you seeing it?

yep on the 12z we had a deepening low in central wisconsin on the 18z we have a weakening low going thru southern IL.

Interesting that 18z NAM has more snow via both Kuchera and 10:1 closer to metro Chicago and less and NW and west which is against the KLOT forecast. Just happy that the system went away from a rainer and snow eater.