Jed33

It’s been a real struggle to surpass 2.5in here. I’m not sure what has caused the slow accumulation, but the returns just kept getting eaten up. Either dry air or downsloping or maybe both. Maybe the last part of this storm will be more kind to us in Hamblen and western Greene. 

Edit: Snow has picked up again here now moderate to heavy so we’ll see what happens now. The temp is 26 so that will definitely help with the ratio

Went to bed at midnight and just woke up. Ground is covered and even the road is starting to cave heavy snow-looks like I have maybe close to 2in on cars. 

Near zero at 12z Sunday morning 

My office manager also lived in MI and has told me that before! If it’s not over a foot she said they don’t really think anything of it

18 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

I’m really concerned with some of my shrubs for Sunday morning, especially my Jap Maple and Cherry tree. Would 2 or 3 inches of snow on them be enough insulation? Or should I cover them Saturday night, Sunday morning?


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Does the Jap maple already have tender young shoots and leaves? If so, man I don’t know. Hopefully the snow will insulate it. I’ve seen cherries in bloom covered with 2in of snow and they were fine but it wasn’t nearly as cold as the projections for Sunday AM. Unfortunately at 10 degrees (and maybe lower depending on snowpack) I don’t know that you will be able to do very much more than the snow will do. If you cover them today with the sun out you will bake them and kill them. If you cover them with a sheet and get a heavy snow on them better have something to prop them up with so the sheet doesn’t get too heavy with the snow and crush them. Then there’s the whole so cold it may freeze inside the”dome” even with the sheets the wind also does as much damage as anything 

I just love the way this looks on the screen! This is the 0z GDPS (Canadian). This is as classic of a track and look for E TN as you can get. It may not pan out this way but it sure is pretty to look at!

It ticked ever so slightly back south/southeast. Better than 18z for sure

3 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Bring on the RGEM! Maybe the best run of any model for the forum area. 

And look at the low temps Sunday AM in the lower single digits across the area! It has a cold bias though in general, but with 1/2 foot of snow on the ground it would certainly be possible 

Sleet mixing in currently temp is 36

Now mostly all sleet

Rain and sleet here just starting 

16 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Thunder in TRI.

Big time storm just rolled through here! 

Thunder and lightning along with extremely heavy rain here this AM! Not just 1 or 2 lightning strikes either. This storm that just went through would make a summer time storm proud! 

Snow flurries around here now too. No dusting, but flying in the air at least.

1 hour ago, John1122 said:

March of 1975 is probably the best of the follow up Ninas for Winter  Weather. There was a widespread 2.5-6 inch event that even hit valley areas near mid-Month. There were several other snowy days that month, with an early month 2 inch event imby. 

2018 the snow got into the valley areas. I know Jed had 2 inches from an event and I think others further south pulled it off. 

Eventually March 1960, April 1987, March 1993 etc will repeat. Hopefully we are all around to see it. 

Yes, I remember that one well! I took the kids to school that morning and it had been flurrying off and on. Then, on the way home, the skies opened up and it was just pouring snow for awhile. The kids actually did not get dismissed for that one until normal time. Probably a good thing or could have been some trouble getting everyone home that morning. We had about 2in on the grass and elevated surfaces and probably about an inch on the roads. The snow hung around in the grass all day, but by evening most of the roads were fine where they salted and plowed. Kids made it home fine, but they felt cheated out of a snow day haha! 
 

Some of the biggest snows forum wide are from March and April. I’m not calling for a repeat of that, but it’s possible. I remember some from my childhood and that was when I lived in N MS. 

Woke up to a light dusting on cars and elevated surfaces. Kinda surprised actually. Temp is 30.

Having lived in W TN and N MS for 25 years of my life I’ve seen many cases of where the cold air just way overperforms in that area. CAD almost in a way. There are really no mtns north of the area to block it, and when the cold air comes down, it banks up against the ozarks to the west. It basically just gets funneled right down the MS river. It’s almost always a shallow, very close to the surface cold airmass. I’ve seen so many times where the NWS was playing catch up to how far south and east the cold was settling and how long it held on. If you live in that area esp. W TN and E AR you definitely need to be ready for this one!

My my what a run by the 0z GFS! Gotta wonder if that’s what February and March 1960 would have looked like if you could have run it back in the day! 

Crazy! MRX is only about 8mi from my house and they somehow managed 1.5in! 

Congrats to everyone who picked up something! We had a couple decent snow showers that put down a dusting overnight but that was about it. Couldn’t make a connection with a decent band here.

Wow it’s really coming down here now! It’s not sticking but wow!

Coming down pretty heavy here in town right now!

One of my favorite snow events was in January 1997 while I lived in Olive Branch, MS (south side of Memphis) Back then, everyone watched The Weather Channel and listened to the local news for the forecast. We could also access the Iwin network (NWS Interactive Weather Network) if you had dial-up internet. You could read the AFD’s even back then. Anyway, I remember catching Jim Cantore one evening in January. He came on and said. We’re gonna have to watch this arctic front coming in tomorrow in TN around Memphis. Some new data is coming in that suggests a “wave” of low pressure might try to develop along the front. He showed their forecast model and snowfall forecast which had jumped dramatically from zilch to about 2-3in. Of course that was all it took for us to get excited. Jim Cantore, THE weather man said it could snow!!! 

Meanwhile, on IWIN (lol) the NWS had no mention of any snow just a strong cold front. 
 

The next morning, the NWS had added flurries and light snow showers possible to the forecast and meanwhile TWC was saying 2-4in looked likely now for Memphis. I remember waking up and it was about 33/34 degrees thinking well I guess it’s probably not going to do it bc it was sunny. However, you could see some faint growing clouds to the NW. about 45min later the front came plowing through, snow started falling and I ran in to turn on TWC! (No other radar could be gotten faster hardly back then. You’d have to wait for the local news to see it. Unless it was a severe situation. TWC was local every 8min.) I went outside and watched flurries turn into light snow. The snow just kinda kept building over NE AR and W TN and really kinda just stalled out. It more or less just kept maintaining itself and building in the same area. Light snow turned into a dusting. NWS said flurries and light snow showers. Dusting became an inch within an hour. The NWS updated to say you might get a dusting (everyone laughed bc we already had an inch!) an inch turned into 2in and they said well you might get an inch. Basically they were behind by an inch the whole time. Finally after we had 3in and it was still snowing they just said be careful and enjoy it! Ended up with about 4.5in and it stayed on the ground for over a week bc of the cold temps. We dropped to 4 degrees that night and stayed in the teens the next day. The rest of the week was cold but not that cold! All in all it’s one of my favorites bc of how it came out of nowhere and really was a great event!

Yes these kinds of fronts can put down some snow, especially if a “wave” develops along the front. I’ll put one of my favorites in the historical thread. The cold air can squeeze out just about every bit of moisture.

5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Sevier Co is always stealing all our fun.




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Well it was moving NE but it sank SE and decided to pay a visit to Dolly. And that Bulls Gap snow shower was that legit? I mean it’s like it went poof as soon as it started.