Jed33

28 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

We could use your prayers… my wife was diagnosed with breast cancer this week. Do not have all the info just yet but as of now the outlook is positive. Feel terrible for her. She just completely recovered from the brain tumor she had removed 2 years ago. God has been there and he’s not leaving us. Keep us in your prayers. Thanks guys!!!!


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Oh man. So sorry to hear that! I will be praying for her and you!

There was a fire at The Ridgefield Veterinary Clinic yesterday evening here in Morristown. Thankfully there were no animals in the building and no one was injured. Fire crews worked to put it out-I have no idea if it was related to the drought or if it maybe was electrical? They haven’t released any information on what caused it yet. I pray that the rain for next week actually materializes, as we are all on the cusp of what could be a very scary time if we don’t get some significant rain soon!

Actually had some sprinkles and a patch or two or light rain pass through here a little bit ago. I ran into what would almost be called a shower when I took my son to basketball practice (6 AM-7:30 practice everyday ughh) this morning. MRX mentioned they thought it was Virga but apparently not it some places. Maybe moisture return is a little better than expected? Maybe it could help out for tomorrow?

Unfortunately, it’s not looking good for us to receive much rainfall today. Just looking at radar, it seems what moisture there was has moved out of the area and the other appears like it will miss us to the south. For my area, the road is not even wet. Just had a few sprinkles here. I was hopeful when I read MRX forecast discussion this morning of up to 1/3-1/2in for the northern half of the area, but that doesn’t appear to be the outcome. It appears like it will take a major system (just like it always does) to move in from the gulf to get us a “normal” rainfall. Until we can get that, these fronts just don’t have what it takes to produce rainfall in our increasingly dessert like area.

Ended up with only a trace of rain. 0.00in in the gauge.

3.47in here so far and still raining. This is the most single day rainfall in my backyard in years. I’d say probably 5 yrs at least! Today we’ve actually had more rain than we had in the entire month of June! Let that sink in for a min. I’m glad to get it though, we’ve been nickeled and dimed all summer long. Before today I think I had only 1 event with over 1in total this entire summer, so definitely needed it here!

47 degrees this morning at the house! It was almost like we skipped summer and went to Middle October. Definitely loving this weather!

Happy to get some rain finally! Picked up at total of 1.14in between yesterday and today. This is the most rain in one event that we’ve had here since April. No wonder we slipped into drought conditions last week. In April we had a total of 2.38in Imby and the rain yesterday and today basically doubled what we had had so far for the entire month of May, so that I’m around 2.5in for May so far.

Also loving the cool weather! It was 48° this AM and it’s only 54 right now at 5PM. I’ll take this all day everyday.

6 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

April finished only 0.8F above normal after two days at 85+.  Overnight lows were actually below normal which is a testament to the number of days without rainfall - only 2.64" of rain for the entire month of April at TRI.  Dry spells equal cold nights quite often here in NE TN.  The La Nina hangover is upon us.  Hopefully, we see rainfall pick-up by mid-summer.  

The Mountain West has really warmed up as places in western WY and NE Utah set records for seasonal snowfall.

I hear ya about the dry weather. Only picked up 2.28in for April imby. Also, I’m definitely in agreement on the wind this Spring. I don’t ever recall there being this much wind in years gone by. 

This wind is no joke this afternoon! I see where Knoxville was reporting sustained winds of 40mph with gusts to 63 earlier and while I don’t have an anemometer, I’d say it was close to that here. Seems like a High Wind warning would be more appropriate, but I know we don’t hardly get those here in the valley. A few weeks ago, and to some degree, this time, seems like the timing was off on the advisory/warning. The wInd this time though is every bit as strong as then if maybe not a little more, and only an advisory this time. I guess it’s not worth the trouble to upgrade?

7 hours ago, Matthew70 said:

Yeah rain & some good lighting at times.  Other than that just another quick moving storm.  I’m not going to complain.  Reports out of Armory, MS are horrific. I hate tornadoes.  Destroying homes & property & lives is all they are good for.  I hope for this area they continue to bust. 

Oh man, Amory, MS is my hometown! I’ve just been talking to everyone I know. So far, everyone is safe, but one friend lost his house and the entire neighborhood. Apparently the north side of the town was destroyed. Just a terrible, terrible situation. My heart aches for those people! Just up the road is Smithville where the EF5 went through in 2011. That area has truly been hit hard over the past 12 years!

3 hours ago, Daniel Boone said:

If you take a look at the MADIS and COOP station's around KTRI you can see a difference.   I spoke with the Chief Met at KMRX and he said it was about 3 degree's high . It is governed by the FAA and they allow a 4 degrees swing either side of actual with their Temp. Sensor's. NWS just uses FAA's Equipment. 

    So, there you have it. No just speculation on my part. 

    I agree in the precip reporting from some of the Official Station's. If it's Airports they're owned and governed by them unfortunately. 

That makes sense then about the airport. In Morristown, where the office is, the airport is only maybe a half mile away, if that from the weather station. Also, the elevation is virtually the same.  So would be similar in the temp department. Unfortunately, what is probably going on with the precip is they have the sensor mounted on a deck or porch and it’s unable to record the precip bc it’s covered and blocking the sensor from reporting the correct readings. You would think the NWS would say something about it, but I guess they can’t really do anything if the airport isn’t interested in fixing it.

42 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Euro Weeklies Update:  Nice warm-up later this month.  Looks like another cool down right after the first of April...well, meaning it might get downright cold.  Again, this is the pits for trying to grow in the garden.  First week of May is frost free here....I bet we get frosts well into May w/ this crazy pattern.

Say it ain’t so! Well I guess if we do we do. I’ve seen it frost as late as May 20 before, but that was a long time ago. Seems like more often than not after these late starts we turn off hot and dry too! That just adds more insult to injury on trying to get a garden going! I sure hope we don’t have a hot, dry summer this year.

35 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

I'm going to talk with KMRX about the Station at KTRI to see if they can go check it.. Pretty positive it's T readings are running too high. 

Might as well talk to them about their own station. The temperature seems fine, but if you’ll notice on their webpage they never record precipitation of any kind falling. The most you’ll see is mist. It could be a thunderstorm outside and it will show mist. It’s been that way for years.

18 here at the house this AM. Hopefully like others said there is no more harsh cold, by that I mean below 20. However the GFS has been advertising another freeze like Carver said near the end of the month. Redbud trees must be incredibly resilient to cold temps. It doesn’t seem to have had any impact on their blooms. However, the pears and cherries turned brown last week and this finished them off I’m sure. Same with the cherries. I don’t know about the apples. Haven’t seen many of them blooming. Meanwhile, I continue to cover up my blueberries at night and hope tonight is the last time. It’s a lot of work to uncover during the day and recover at night!

21 this AM at the house with some flurries off and on earlier.

Meanwhile, guidance has been getting colder for tonight, such that MRX is now forecasting near record or even record lows in places! Hopefully this is the last really cold night for this winter. Looks like some places north of I-40 will drop into the teens tonight.

26 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Spitting snow here in Kingsport this morning.

Same here as well.

1 hour ago, Matthew70 said:

Tomorrow here in the  midstate will be much better. Near 50.  8-10 degrees higher than today with less wind.  These cold temps are like rubbing salt in an open wound at this point after the winter we have had. If climatology is right each cold snap should be less harsh here on out.  Maybe these cold spells mean we skip the locusts, dogwood & etc winters. Winter can take a long vacation at this point. March madness is here & my team is at the top.  Which usually is a curse. March is my least favorite month except March Madness makes it less disliked. 

Unfortunately, considering the redbuds are blooming and that is traditionally the first of these “spring winters”, I don’t think we’re going to avoid it. This is going to be about as cold of a “redbud winter” though as I’ve ever seen. Also, I saw a dogwood today that the buds were swelling on and slightly opened. If we’d stayed warm just a little longer, the dogwoods would be blooming and we would have had both “winters” at the same time. I don’t think this freeze will hurt the dogwoods in this stage, but if it gets down into the low 20’s tomorrow night, it will fry the redbuds, pear trees, cherries, and any other blooming trees, as well as any leaves that have put out on them. Daffodils will be fine, as they can take snow and a lot more cold. I’ve seen them take low teens and not even phase them. Right now I had to cover up my blueberry bushes this evening and will again tomorrow night. I’m thinking I’m going to have my work cut out for me over the next few weeks with them, unfortunately it looks like I’ll be covering and uncovering them quite a bit!

12 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

My dogwoods & Azaleas are just now showing a little green.  Very little. I know I have lost some shrubs due to the temps around Christmas.  A landscaper told my neighbor that the Hollie trees/bushes are alive but will have to be hedge trimmed to get the dead frozen ends off.  He said to wait till April. Going to be costly for many this spring.  

There are many shrubs like that around here as well. Otto Lukyens and other laurels like Skip Laurel took it on the chin. My neighbor had some formed into a hedge along his driveway that had to be at least 8ft tall and about 15yrs old. They are brown and only putting out from the bottom and some midway up the shrub. His will have to be pruned like that and basically start over like they were 15yrs ago when he planted them. Even then it’s not going to be pretty. There won’t be an even re-growth to a hedge. Some will sprout higher up on the individual shrub and others lower down, making it to where they have to be pruned lower than might ordinarily be the case in order to try to achieve some form of uniform hedge again. 

That’s incredibly high amp! But, as high as it is, check out the JMA!

Similar story here today. Tbh, the wind did not reach High Wind Warning criteria here until the storms went through this afternoon. Now, this evening we are easily gusting to 40-50mph! 

Snow showers scattered around here right now. Temp is 35.

Well, to be fair it is the weather, and the weather is going to do what the weather is going to do. Personally, I really appreciate Holston, Carver, and all the others that chime in here to offer observations and thoughts on the pattern and possibilities going forward. It’s hard to find analysis like this elsewhere and that’s what makes this board so great in my opinion! It may or may not work out, but there have been other times like this before. So, if it doesn’t work out in our favor, I don’t consider it a loss myself because the opportunity was there. When you are studying/interested in something you have no control over, then you take what you get and enjoy it good or bad. Then, the next time something comes up, you can draw on past experiences to give you an idea of what might happen. Even then though, it’s just an idea of what might happen. Nothing is ever guaranteed. Doesn’t mean it’s not fun or interesting to study though. Just my two cents.

Well the sun is out here but not before a small band with a “white-rain” moved through. It was so bright with the sun shining right in that I had to hide behind a porch column to diffuse this light, but I did manage to get a glimpse of some snow mixing in, and after that this spectacular rainbow out my front door over the lake! 

The returns aren’t as heavy in NW AL as in Central MS, but what they don’t have in returns in this area, they make up in elevation. There are places that are over 1,000ft to the South and SW of Florence AL, so there might be some flakes making it down here.