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Jed33

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Everything posted by Jed33

  1. Jed33
    Sure enough Carver! It’s been documented not just here but in other places that orographic lift aided by Bays Mtn does this. I’m not sure an industrial plant could actually cause 2in to fall. Either he has no knowledge of the phenomenon and/or he has no knowledge of how orographic lift works. Crazy! Speaking of bands, I noticed earlier that it looked like a second one tried to form in South Knox into Blount Co. I’m not sure about that one. Don’t know that I’ve seen it before. It doesn’t really look like it’s still going, so it could have been something like River effect, Lake effect, steam plant, etc.?
  2. Jed33
    21 this morning and a very light dusting on the cars outside. Still some flurries floating around and I see the Bays Mtn. Band is still going albeit has shifted ever so slightly. I’d be willing to bet someone around there has some actual accumulation. The problem is it’s such a small area. It does look like it crosses over I-81 though so maybe there’s someone who could tell us? Edit: I see reports on social media of the grass being white and some roadways dusted. So, yeah it’s legit. Looks like it’s been going for 13hrs!
  3. Jed33
  4. Jed33
    Stepped outside just now and noticed a few flurries. Looked at the radar and noticed the infamous Bays Mtn. Snow band has set up!! I’m not sure if it ever got going last year? At any rate, sure enough there she be!
  5. Jed33
    This is very true for West TN especially the further south and west you go. Memphis is notorious for it. I lived in that area and in N MS for 30yrs with the exception of 5yrs spent in Jackson, MS. I’ve seen so many ice storms. I really hope I never see another one. I’ve seen some of the worst ones and the damage done from them. My grandfather and the older generation used to call the bad ones “Ice-breakdowns”. The name says it all. The February 1994 ice storm is in a league of its own and I hope it’s never repeated again. Some places around N MS had 6-8 in of pure freezing rain. An ungodly amount of ice buildup. Memphis had 2-3in itself. That much ice is hard to describe it’s just devastating! Sleet by itself is also hard to come by, but Memphis also manages to do that better than any place I’ve ever lived as well. I’ve seen 4in of pure sleet and many “concrete mixes” as it’s sometimes called with 2-4in amounts of freezing rain, sleet, and snow mixed. That is unbelievably hard to get around in. You better hope you get an inch or two of snow on top to help with traction for the first day, but when that melts a little from the sun and refreezes into a block of ice, it’s bad, really bad! Hopefully we all get 100% snow this year, and don’t have to see an ice storm. I love snow, but I would like to pass on the ice storms please.
  6. Jed33
    That’s a really nice look!
  7. Jed33
    Merry Christmas everyone! Hopefully the changes we see going forward will work out for the entire forum.
  8. Jed33
    This is the link I where I found the information on Alaska. https://www.currentresults.com/Weather-Extremes/US/lowest-temperatures-alaska.php
  9. Jed33
    I’ve been following the weather for many years. Most years during my childhood (80’s) the weather was oftentimes very cold during the winter and I took note of it. I didn’t write down the dates when the brutally cold air would build in Alaska and Canada, but my dad and I watched it and we knew it would usually eventually be unleashed into the lower 48. I looked it up on google just now and found about 24 cases where the temps were between -70 to the record of -80. These were scattered from Jan 19-20 1952 to Jan 29 1999. The coldest being Jan 27 1989 at -76 and Jan 5 1997 at -77. The ultimate coldest Jan 23 1971 at -80. I don’t see any temps that cold though in the 2000’s. So, there is definitely precedent for it to be lower than -60 with 24 cases at or below-70 in Alaska.
  10. Jed33
    Yeah I saw that earlier. I don’t know about that. Seems a little strange for him to say that. I remember times in the 80’s and 90’s where Alaska hit -70 and lower. I remember one instance where it was even closer to -80! I can remember talk about how airplanes couldn’t function when the temp was lower than -70. So, -60F is not unprecedented at all. I’m not sure where he’s getting the 1000 yr event talk. To me if it was going to be 1000yr event we’d be talking -100 or more. Akin to the lowest temps ever observed on the planet, which happens to be on the other side of the globe in Antarctica.
  11. Jed33
    Wow, the dew point has just plummeted this afternoon. It’s 53 here but the dew point is 5. I noticed at Tri it was 2 during the last observation. Talk about dry!
  12. Jed33
    I was just thinking earlier today, what if the January thaw that we normally get was displaced by a few weeks into December instead of January. Wouldn’t that be something! Now, don’t get me wrong, I’m not calling for that, nor do I even know if there’s any precedent for that. It’s just a thought I had.
  13. Jed33
    Currently 8° here at the house. Definitely an impressive airmass for sure!
  14. Jed33
    Last year, the NWS replaced the wind chill advisory with cold weather advisory and wind chill warning was changed to extreme cold warning or something like that. Also, MRX discontinued frost and freeze advisories unless they occur well outside of when they would ordinarily occur. So, basically before October or after May 1. Like it or not, they will likely never issue many, if any frost or freeze advisories or warnings again. Not every state is doing this, but I think OHX and MEG are as well. So you won’t hardly see any of those warnings in TN again.
  15. Jed33
    Wow! I woke up around 1 this morning and was shocked. The heaviest snow of the night was coming down hard. Somehow I picked up between 1/2-1inch of snow at that time. This morning it’s melted from underneath down to between 1/2-3/4 inch. It’s all on the grassy surfaces, rooftops, trees, and vehicles though. Not really that much, if any accumulation on my street. Really an overachiever here. I guess the rgem and RAP pretty much sniffed this one out. Seems like the rgem does really well with clippers, but like others had said, it’s been so long since we had one I forgot what a clipper looks like
  16. Jed33
    Fine flakes but pretty steady to occasionally moderate here now. Light dusting on car and grass
  17. Jed33
    Seeing some flakes every now and then here now
  18. Jed33
    I’ve noticed the rgem was teasing my area a lot the last few runs. The euro to some degree as well
  19. Jed33
    Picked up a nice dusting here at the house overnight and actually saw more in town as I drove in to work this morning. Guessing there was maybe 1/2in or so at one point during the night here in town just judging by what’s left on rooftops and grass.
  20. Jed33
    A heavy sleet band just plowed through I mean just smoked us! Only problem was it only lasted for about a minute or so. It was cool while it lasted. Tried to coat the walkway and grass. The temp fell from 40 to 38 during the time. That was unexpected, at least by me!
  21. Jed33
    37 here at my house on the border of Hawkins/Hamblen Co
  22. Jed33
    Been seeing some flurries here as well this evening.
  23. Jed33
    Now seeing some sleet here as well.
  24. Jed33
    I was working in Camp Creek earlier today and took this picture around 2PM. It’s winter meets Fall! Still some color down low and color up top!
  25. Jed33
    In a very cautious but interesting twist, MRX just put nearly the whole CWA in an advisory. Updated the forecast discussion to mention that they feel the CAM models are correct with numerous snow showers developing between 11AM-3PM and that there is high confidence of heavier bands setting up which will reduce visibility and make travel difficult. They do say they do not have much confidence at all in where the bands will set up. Out of an abundance of caution feel it necessary to issue an advisory. Hmmm that doesn’t sound like the MRX of old haha! Good to see them acknowledge the potential!
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