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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    RGEM still looks kind of decent from Central Park northward so a bit of a short-range model battle I guess (battle in terms of nothing vs 2 inches lol)
  2. HVSnowLover
    Makes sense that’s what we’ve been expecting
  3. HVSnowLover
    Is it rain or lack of precip?
  4. HVSnowLover
    The radar was supposed to look crappy and temps are about as forecasted so everything going according to plan but agree this will be a non event for many
  5. HVSnowLover
    That was expected, it's not expected to fill in until around noon but honestly with what the NAM is showing I am not sure it will be more than snow showers/showers for NYC and points south.
  6. HVSnowLover
    Gfs drills the Catskills but ugly closer to the coast. Hope to get at least a 1-2 inches.
  7. HVSnowLover
    Yea 1-3 seems like a good bet. 2-4 with possible isolated spots higher north of the city
  8. HVSnowLover
    Agree although I think the light blue zone may get the best rates with the initial burst, ecm has a similar zone. 40% of 4-6 is like 2-3 which I think would be possible if the colder/wetter models verify
  9. HVSnowLover
    RGEM is a mix for the city and moderate snow for the suburbs with the initial burst and then light rain for the city and light snow in the suburbs
  10. HVSnowLover
    Yes but precip is light after initial burst and mid level issues so for actual real snow it’s going to be in the initial burst
  11. HVSnowLover
    That’s the difference maker because nyc chance of accumulating snow is at the start of the storm
  12. HVSnowLover
    NAM still not too interested in this tomorrow for NYC which is a bit of a red flag but it did at least get better than it’s last two runs
  13. HVSnowLover
    I like between I80 and I84 right now with this. Should have some nice lift.
  14. HVSnowLover
    Except it won’t be 10:1 ratio in the southern part of the 4-6 zone and probably counts sleet as snow?
  15. HVSnowLover
    The waa is coming from the WSW so places like Sussex may actually mix in the mid levels quicker than places further east.
  16. HVSnowLover
    Rates are actually pretty good tomorrow afternoon on the RGEM, might help the city stay snow longer with the initial batch if it's really that heavy (big if)
  17. HVSnowLover
    Yea I see most of NYC except southern Queens is now included.
  18. HVSnowLover
    Gfs has a nice burst tomorrow early afternoon. We’ll see.
  19. HVSnowLover
    WWA advisory for everyone except NYC/LI
  20. HVSnowLover
    I think 1 inch in Yonkers and then a sleet fest.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Honestly dynamics favor for NE for big storms. The Catskills/interior HV will stay snow way better than SNE in marginal storms but in terms of big storms NE gets them the most.
  22. HVSnowLover
    Yes there is something too this I’ll be honest I’m glad the late week storm is way south and weak or it woulda been way more painful
  23. HVSnowLover
    So we are basically are back where we started with this a few days ago.
  24. HVSnowLover
    If 12z euro backs up wetter trend may see wwa issued for interior portions of our region
  25. HVSnowLover
    Yes for north of nyc but precip type still an issue for immediate nyc metro. Hope the wetter trend is for real and at least some places in our sub forum get some fun
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