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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    For LI and NJ coast yes, not for anyone else
  2. HVSnowLover
    Cmc caved. 20 inch jackpot to western fringe but somehow hits NE good after missing us
  3. HVSnowLover
    Not a dud just south congrats MD to Central NJ?
  4. HVSnowLover
    Still 3 days out but yes at minimum they should get hit with the overrunning actually 2 days out for them so yes they are in good shape
  5. HVSnowLover
    This definitely trended south models were 42 in ACY a few days ago. I hope it’s just not too far south that even the immediate to metro area doesn’t cash in.
  6. HVSnowLover
    How close to the city do you think the cutoff will be? Hoping at least lower westchester gets into the good snows since we get shafted by storms that favor interior.
  7. HVSnowLover
    If it’s snowing in Atlantic City probably not headed to far north is my guess
  8. HVSnowLover
    Now we just need the snow lol
  9. HVSnowLover
    I’m trying to not get too caught up in each model run. Euro worries me but has also been inconsistent with this storm telling me it may not have a great handle on it. I still think a warning level event likely I95 and points SE. NW of there is iffy but not out
  10. HVSnowLover
    This has been the trend for a while. Always was concerned overrunning would not make it to us
  11. HVSnowLover
    Great point. Even for NYC itself you’d probably rather be on the NW edge of the heavy snow at this range rather than the SE edge. Every system and setup is different so this may or may not take the usual nw trend but it’s been a while since you regions you mentioned and even NYC metro had an all snow event so I guess take what you can get.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Agree too I think NYC will get hit. North and west it may be a miss.
  13. HVSnowLover
    Trust the Euro when it’s consistent but with this storm Euro has not been consistent so for now this an outlier solution but tomorrow will be anxiety provoking lol
  14. HVSnowLover
    Euro and Ukie almost flipped places tonight. I don’t know what to think.
  15. HVSnowLover
    Euro is east
  16. HVSnowLover
    That’s still some cutoff north of the city, will possibly be very sharp cutoff on the northern end but think it will be further north than that.
  17. HVSnowLover
    Gfs looks good for nyc metro Cmc looks fantasy level amazing
  18. HVSnowLover
    NAM gets the overrunning pretty far north but it’s the long range NAM
  19. HVSnowLover
    Without blocking its cutters with blocking its suppression?
  20. HVSnowLover
    Trending that way but could still trend back.
  21. HVSnowLover
    When people start following every single model run lol. I know it’s hard not to but I am trying to learn how to actually predict storms instead of get caught up in the run to run noise
  22. HVSnowLover
    Agree, good way to predict precip type. Is there a way to check these tracks on the models?
  23. HVSnowLover
    Unfortunately as seems often the case the best dynamics are further southwest. Seems Central PA is the place to be lately for storms lol as they are far enough south for overrunning precip not to dry up and don't have ocean influence.
  24. HVSnowLover
    Yea mixing on LI but barely any precipitation north of I84 on 18z gfs. Maybe it’s wrong but definitely to be trend of more narrow zone of wintry precip.
  25. HVSnowLover
    I'm starting to think North of I84 may get shafted with this but then we also thought that in December and the jackpot was Binghamton to Albany lol
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