HVSnowLover
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Everything posted by HVSnowLover
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Yea your area has at least gotten decent snow the last two winters. The area between I95 and I84 is more overdue.
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It’s unfortunately almost impossible for eastern LI to stay all snow and I84 corridor to get good snow but hopefully everyone gets in on this.
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Manalapan and Sandy Hook the places to be. Sharp cutoff on the southern end
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To me 18z looks similar to 12z but more qpf for NYC
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I think with that look this is coming north, ensembles are usually se of OP
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Probably happened but very rare and this isn’t the setup I would expect that
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This is really exploding for NJ but a small north trend would move those totals into NYC
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Based off latest guidance I think so too but cautiously optimistic
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- heavy snow
- ice pellets
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GFS still looks like it's playing catchup as always but this run was more organized
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I think the 3-5 zone is too low, rarely does this setup shut off that close to the city but we’ll see
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Doesn’t matter. NAM starts mattering around 60 hours out
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Doesn’t actually look that much north overall but I think people have actually been saying the jackpot zone could be something like that depending on if banding sets up.
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True but it wasn’t a total suprise it was becoming apparent that zone woul jackpot by about 30 hours out
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Yes if this becomes a true old fashioned coastal and tracks NE there will be a nice band somewhere on the nw side of precipitation but depends on exact setup which still isn’t totally determined
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At least it came NW, thats all we really needed to see for now.
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I predict it’ll come a bit NW of 0z but if it doesn’t I95 and NW may be not be getting a big storm
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Yea I see what you are saying except the gap in eastern CT looks a bit odd
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Models from two days ago? Or perhaps not model hugging and expecting a nw correction?
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Of course it does if you live in nyc metro LOL j/k
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Yes I hope the easterly flow can get good precip at least to I287 it sure gets warm air in up to that line on the other type of storms LOL
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If confluence is the issue how is NE getting hit hard or you’re not buying the cmc solution at all?
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At this point it’s not run it’s an all out trend. They can correct back somewhat but right now this is a SE of I95 special with warning level snow possible to maybe I95 and just NW.