dailylurker

Just now, C.A.P.E. said:

Will that reset the MJO to phase 1?

I will probably just give us drizzle and 50 for the entire month of April lol

This winter has all the classic symptoms of a shut out. Hopefully we torch in March and put this thing behind us. 

4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Mesos spitting out around 2 inches of rain tomorrow morning.  Looks like some hefty downpours . Mattie Gs Daffodils and grass patch should get a good drink

Finally something interesting. This winter is about as interesting as our boring hot summers. 

9 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Whole lotta cryin goin in in here tonight

That's because we don't get snow anymore. Makes snow lovers grumpy.

26 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Should be able to start planting crops by early-february. 

Naa.. because April will cold and rainy and everything with rot.

10 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Weather is like a soap opera. "As The Weather Turns And The Frustration Sets In". Let the dominos fall where they may but here is my take on the rest of winter.

 

The pattern will change and well get plenty of cold rain in April and May.

And poof. That was fun to track for a week. I'm so bored with this winter. Hopefully next weekend juices up and at least gives us some heavy rain and flooding. I'm desperate for weather.

6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Feb 15 squall was like that for 9.5 minutes

That's exactly what I thought I was watching until I noticed the amount on the ground lol

1 hour ago, mappy said:

I’m glad you feel that way. I am who I am. Happy Friday! 

You too my friend. Good luck tomorrow. 

11 minutes ago, mappy said:

Someone is rather salty this morning, don’t worry your cold rain will wash away your tears

Comments like that remind me why I like you. Nothing better then a lady with some spice lmao

44 minutes ago, mappy said:

Anyway, Ava going 2-4 along PA line, 1-2 into Baltimore, less for those who live in the deserts like Crofton 

Ok, good luck with that. Enjoy your inch of slop followed by a few chilly days, then another cutter (like I said 5 days ago). 

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

So my question to the experts is whether the NAM is a red flag that the dry cold air will make this a nonevent?

This has been a nonevent for days.

14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

How is the storm after this storm looking?

Cold and dry followed by more cutters that look like snow 10 days away. 

Just now, H2O said:

aren't looking good for what?  6" snow?  When did anything show that?  As far as I can tell there is still a chance for some type of frozen precip.  It was 70 last weekend.  If I get sleet then its a win

I agree. I'd love that. Let's hope keep fingers crossed.

Just now, H2O said:

And its usually the one run that never has support before or after.  The people that start flipping out should know better too.  Of course things are going to move around.  Its 3-4 days away.  The only thing that locks in for that long is summer heat.

I hope I'm wrong but we all know how this goes. I've been here long enough. Sorry for the meltdown, mappy but I'm just pointing out what JI will be here shortly doing.

9 minutes ago, mappy said:

what? As far as I can tell, only the 00z Euro had that type of solution. Thats definitely not enough to say models are converging. Dial back the hyperbole a bit. 

you aren't new here. 

I've been here long enough to know when you're like this things aren't looking good. 

5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

It’s Tuesday. The storm is Saturday. That’s really all that needs to be said, especially when one has no faith in LR forecasting.

Friday night isn't long range. We have a good idea what it's doing. Models are converging on it going into Minnesota. That's a goner I'm afraid. As far as the LR. That's as reliable as the woolly worm lol

So, the weekend storm is flurries followed by drizzle and the cold pattern is 4 days slightly below average ahead of the next cutter. I'm starting to lose hope in the LR nonsense. 

2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

I bet the EPS are actually fine and the OP an 

It's a goner. Then another cutter then cold/dry. 

Where are the clouds? Did the rainstorm vanish?

Sunny warm day here. Another fantastic forecast.

What a surprise. Everything shifted NW of AA country. That never happens. I'll enjoy my cold rain today while I wait for summer to start this weekend. 

21 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said:

One bad OP GFS 18z and people are back in the panic room? Sheesh. 

Ummm.. it's been bad runs since before Christmas. Anyway. Looks like I can plant my cover crop I didn't have time to plant in the fall. 

Justin Berk says winter arrives this weekend and looks cold for mid January. I stop paying attention to him years ago but find him hilarious. 

19 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said:

0.30" rain today. About 0.85 past 2 days.

MD Rte 450 closed for under an inch of rain. (Flooding). Pitiful engineering SHA.

They close it for a little puddle. Closing it is just a way to waste our tax money. I live a mile from the puddle.